WESTERN DIGITAL CORP

WDC
About the company

Western Digital Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells data storage devices and solutions based on hard disk drive (HDD) technology in the United States, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company offers internal HDDs, data center drives, data center platforms, external drives, portable drives, NAS for home and office, and accessories.

Country: United StatesPrice: $453.48Market Cap: $163.5B

Investment snapshot

25%positive consensus
Scored 37d ago

Positive

4

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

0 / 11

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$42.00

-90.7% vs price

Models with upside

0 / 16

Positive margin of safety

Key risk

No clean pass — all 12 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.
Scored from 10-K37d ago
MetricO'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

Lynch

GARP

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Ackman

Activist Value

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Piotroski

F-Score

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Graham

Defensive Value

VerdictFAILFAILFAILFAILPASSFAILFAILPASSFAILFAILPASSPASSFAILFAILFAIL · Rank #1257 (Top 39.2%)FAIL
Score
Analysis
Intrinsic ValueN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of SafetyN/A-397.9%-457.8%-1124.3%-534.5%N/AN/AN/A-2972.4%-12189.4%-808.2%-868.4%-1088.7%N/A-1300.9%-979.7%
Data As Of10-K (2026-08-25)10-K (2026-08-25)10-K (2026-08-25)10-K (2026-08-25)10-K (2026-08-25)10-K (2026-08-24)10-K (2026-08-24)10-K (2026-08-23)10-K (2026-08-23)10-K (2026-08-23)10-K (2026-08-23)10-K (2026-08-23)10-K (2026-08-23)10-K (2026-08-23)10-K (2026-08-23)10-K (2026-08-23)

Where It Passes

    Where It Falls Short

    • Valuation0% pass✓ 1✗ 25▾

      No clean pass — all 12 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

      Revenue / market capitalization+0.0582; #4428/5203 (top 85.1%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Net income / market capitalization+1.16%; #2790/6251 (top 44.6%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+0.78%; #2413/4487 (top 53.8%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date+67.65%; #564/6203 (top 9.1%)
      ✓OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)4.98
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      P/E or FCF YieldP/E=88.6x, FCF Yield=0.8%
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      Price / Book Value per Share29.62x
      ✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)✗Templeton< 1.5x✗Dreman< 1.2x
      Price / Tangible Book Value per Share29.62x
      ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
      Book Value per Share Change
      ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
      Price / Diluted EPS88.6x
      ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
      (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E0.20
      ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
      Price / EPS88.6x
      ✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)✗Dreman< 12x
      Price vs. Trailing Low1122% of trailing low ($40.43)
      ✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
      P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/E=88.6x, P/B=29.6x
      ✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
      Discount to Intrinsic Value-1088.7% (IV=$38.15 vs Price=$453.48)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Valuation ReasonablenessP/E=88.6x, OE Yield=1.2%
      ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
      Price / FCF per Share123.0x
      ✗Ackman<= 25
      Price / (CFO / Shares)93.0x
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      EBIT / Enterprise Value1.4%
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=1.4%, ROC=45.6%
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Price / 3-yr avg EPS178.3x
      ✗Graham<= 15x
      Price-to-Book Ratio29.6x
      ✗Graham<= 1.5x
      P/E x P/B5,281.6
      ✗Graham<= 22.5
    • Valuation models0% pass✗ 11▾

      WDC overvalued: all 11 models price fair value below $453.48 (median $42.00)

      Lynch fair value$91.07
      ✗Lynch-397.9% margin vs $453.48
      Buffett fair value$81.30
      ✗Buffett-457.8% margin vs $453.48
      Pabrai fair value$37.04
      ✗Pabrai-1124.3% margin vs $453.48
      Akre fair value$71.47
      ✗Akre-534.5% margin vs $453.48
      Templeton fair value$14.76
      ✗Templeton-2972.4% margin vs $453.48
      Marks fair value$3.69
      ✗Marks-12189.4% margin vs $453.48
      Munger fair value$49.93
      ✗Munger-808.2% margin vs $453.48
      Ackman fair value$46.83
      ✗Ackman-868.4% margin vs $453.48
      Dreman fair value$38.15
      ✗Dreman-1088.7% margin vs $453.48
      Greenblatt fair value$32.37
      ✗Greenblatt-1300.9% margin vs $453.48
      Graham fair value$42.00
      ✗Graham-979.7% margin vs $453.48
    • Debt & Leverage18% pass✓ 2✗ 12▾

      9 of 11 flag WDC's debt & leverage — Lynch, Buffett, Akre +6 more

      Total Debt / Equity1.31
      ✗Lynch< 0.33
      Cash - Long-term Debt$-371.0M
      ✗LynchPositive preferred
      Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 1.31, IC: 6.4x
      ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
      Debt Levels1.31
      ✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5
      Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity1.31x
      ✗SchlossD/E < 1.00x✗Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✗Dreman< 0.8
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.08x
      ✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)✗Dreman> 1.5
      Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=6.4x, D/EBITDA=2.5x
      ✓MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
      Total Debt / Shareholders Equity1.31
      ✗Ackman<= 1.0
      LT Debt / Total Assets Change17.75% -> 17.75%
      ✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY
      LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $2.5B vs NCA $438.0M
      ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
    • Efficiency25% pass✓ 3✗ 8▾

      6 of 8 flag WDC's efficiency — Buffett, Akre, Sleep +3 more

      ROIC (3-5 yr avg)8.6%
      ✗Buffett> 10%
      ROIC - WACC-1.4%
      ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
      ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=-1.7%; FY2024: ROIC=18.4%; FY2025: ROIC=15.1%
      ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
      Reinvestment Rate x ROIC14.7% (RR=98% x ROIC=15.1%)
      ✓AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
      ROIC (5-year)2/5 years above 12% (latest 15.1%)
      ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
      Return on Invested Capital15.1%
      ✓Munger> 15%
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.08
      ✗Dreman> 1.5
      Current Ratio Change YoY1.08 -> 1.08
      ✗PiotroskiIncreased YoY
      Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.68x -> 0.68x
      ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
      EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)45.6%
      ✓Greenblatt> 25%
      Current Ratio1.08
      ✗Graham>= 2.0
    • Verdicts25% pass✓ 4✗ 12▾

      Split decision: 11 FAIL · 4 PASS

      Overall verdict
      ✗OshaughnessyFAIL (Rank #726/953 (Top 76.2%))✗LynchFAIL (2/7)✗BuffettFAIL (1/9)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✓AkrePASS (3/6)✗SchlossFAIL (0/7)✗NeffFAIL (3/6)✓SleepPASS (3/6)✗TempletonFAIL (3/8)✗MarksFAIL (3/5)✓MungerPASS (2/4)✓AckmanPASS (5/9)✗DremanFAIL (3/11)✗PiotroskiFAIL (F-Score 3)✗GreenblattRank #1257✗GrahamFAIL (1/9)
    • Profitability33% pass✓ 13✗ 18▾

      10 of 15 flag WDC's profitability — Oshaughnessy, Lynch, Buffett +7 more

      Net income / market capitalization+1.16%; #2790/6251 (top 44.6%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)4.98
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR17.8%
      ✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      ROE35.6%
      ✓Lynch> 15%
      Net Income Positive (10+ years)17/26 years positive
      ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
      ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)11.2%
      ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
      Operating Margin (10-yr trend)24.5% (latest)
      ✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
      Free Cash Flow Proxy$1.9B
      ✓BuffettPositive and growing
      Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)
      ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
      Retained Earnings Effectiveness
      ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
      Margin of SafetyP/E=88.6x, P/B=29.6x
      ✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
      Return on Equity21.3% (3-yr avg)
      ✓AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
      Positive Diluted-EPS Years6/10 years positive
      ✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR17.8% over 4 years
      ✓Neff7%-20% annualized
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 28.1% -> 38.8%, operating margin -6.4% -> 24.5%
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      5-Year EPS CAGR17.8% CAGR over 4 years
      ✓Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Operating Margin Trend-6.4% (2023) -> 24.5% (2025)
      ✓TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
      Discount to Intrinsic Value-1088.7% (IV=$38.15 vs Price=$453.48)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Positive Net Income Frequency17/22 years positive
      ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      Operating Income / Revenue24.5%
      ✓Ackman>= 15%
      Net Income / Shareholders Equity35.6%
      ✓Ackman>= 15%
      Pre-Tax Income / Revenue11.9%
      ✓Dreman>= 8%
      Net Income / Shareholders' Equity35.6%
      ✓Dreman> 12%
      Net Income / Total Assets13.49%
      ✓PiotroskiROA > 0
      ROA Change YoY13.49% -> 13.49% (delta: +0.00%)
      ✗PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=12.08%, ROA=13.49%
      ✗PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Gross Margin Change YoY38.8% -> 38.8%
      ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
      EBIT / Enterprise Value1.4%
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=1.4%, ROC=45.6%
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Positive EPS (10 years)16/26 years positive
      ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    • Growth38% pass✓ 5✗ 8▾

      5 of 8 flag WDC's growth — Lynch, Sleep, Ackman +2 more

      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)4.98
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR17.8%
      ✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: 0.0% vs Rev: 0.0%
      ✗LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR17.8% over 4 years
      ✓Neff7%-20% annualized
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 28.1% -> 38.8%, operating margin -6.4% -> 24.5%
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      5-year Revenue CAGR-10.7%
      ✗SleepCAGR > 7%
      5-Year EPS CAGR17.8% CAGR over 4 years
      ✓Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Positive Net Income Frequency17/22 years positive
      ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      3yr Median Revenue Growth1.0%
      ✗Ackman>= 5%
      Positive EPS Growth Frequency3/5 years with positive EPS growth
      ✓AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
      EPS Growth Direction
      ✗DremanPositive over recent years
      EPS CAGR
      ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    • Cash Flow40% pass✓ 5✗ 7▾

      6 of 10 flag WDC's cash flow — Oshaughnessy, Lynch, Pabrai +3 more

      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+0.78%; #2413/4487 (top 53.8%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      FCF Positive and Growing$1.3B
      ✗LynchPositive and growing
      Free Cash Flow Proxy$1.9B
      ✓BuffettPositive and growing
      P/E or FCF YieldP/E=88.6x, FCF Yield=0.8%
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$1.3B
      ✓Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
      Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency19/21 years positive
      ✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
      FCF Positive17/19 years FCF positive
      ✓MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
      (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap0.8%
      ✗Ackman>= 4%
      Price / FCF per Share123.0x
      ✗Ackman<= 25
      Price / (CFO / Shares)93.0x
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      Operating Cash Flow$1.7B
      ✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=12.08%, ROA=13.49%
      ✗PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA

    Business & financials

    Company Profile

    Industry: Computers
    SIC Sector: Industrial Machinery & Computing
    Size: Large Cap($163.5B)
    Revenue: $9.5B+0.0% YoY
    Net Income: $1.9B+0.0% YoY

    Financial Snapshot

    Operating Margin24.5%
    Return on Equity35.6%
    Debt / Equity1.31
    Current Ratio1.08
    EPS (Diluted)$5.12+0.0% 1y
    Shares Retired0.0% / −1.1% 2y

    Shareholder Return

    Fiscal 2025

    Retired 0.0% of shares last year, 1.1% issued over two.

    Buybacks
    —
    Dividends
    $44.0M

    What drove EPS

    A buyback raises earnings per share without the company earning more. This splits each year's change into the two.

    FY25
    0.0% = 0.0% + 0.0%
    Earnings Fewer shares More shares

    Share count is the denominator the filer used for diluted EPS, recovered as net income ÷ EPS — not the balance-sheet count, which is a point-in-time figure and would put the timing difference into this split. Years with a loss are omitted: a smaller share count makes a loss per share larger, so the decomposition inverts.

    Company Financials

    Annual data (10-K) · Last 5 years

    MetricFY 2025FY 2024FY 2023FY 2022FY 2021
    Market Cap$163.5B$12.4Best.$14.8Best.$10.6Best.$12.0Best.
    Revenue$9.5B$9.5B↑51%$6.3B↑1%$6.3B↓63%$16.9B
    Operating Income$2.3B$2.3B↑679%-$403.0M↑26%-$548.0M↓145%$1.2B
    Net Income$1.9B$1.9B↑337%-$798.0M↑53%-$1.7B↓305%$821.0M
    EPS (Diluted)$5.12$5.12↑296%$-2.61↓155%$4.75↑79%$2.66
    Gross Margin38.8%38.8%↑38%28.1%↑26%22.2%↓17%26.7%
    Operating Margin24.5%24.5%↑484%-6.4%↑27%-8.8%↓222%7.2%
    ROE35.6%35.6%↑582%-7.4%↑52%-15.4%↓302%7.6%
    Total Debt$6.9B↑47%$4.7B↓37%$7.4B↑5%$7.1B↓19%$8.7B
    Shareholders' Equity$5.3B$5.3B↓51%$10.8B↓1%$11.0B↑2%$10.8B
    Current Ratio1.081.08↓18%1.32↓9%1.45↓28%2.00
    Debt / Equity1.31↑47%0.89↑29%0.69↑7%0.64↓20%0.81
    Operating Cash Flow$1.7B$1.7B↑675%-$294.0M↑28%-$408.0M↓121%$1.9B
    Free Cash Flow$1.3B$1.3B↑264%-$781.0M↑36%-$1.2B↓263%$752.0M

    Score history

    Historical Score Timeline

    Industry peers

    Industry Peers

    Similar companies in Computers

    WDC vs Peers — Financial Grading

    Revenue$9.5BMedian
    Net Income$1.9BMedian
    ROE35.6%Median
    D/E1.31Median
    Op. Margin24.5%Median
    Curr. Ratio1.08Median
    CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchGreenblattPiotroskiDreman
    Apple Inc.AAPL$4.81T$329.40$416.2B$112.0B151.9%1.2332.0%0.891/95/93/71/3F-Score 83/11
    CISCO SYSTEMS, INC.CSCO$420.8B$106.74$56.7B$10.2B21.7%0.6020.8%1.004/96/93/70/3F-Score 85/11
    Palo Alto Networks IncPANW$317.7B$388.41$9.2B$1.1B14.5%0.0013.5%0.941/93/93/70/3F-Score 54/11
    Seagate Technology Holdings plcSTX$209.0B$921.51$12.2B$3.2B146.9%1.6533.6%1.673/95/94/71/3F-Score 86/11
    INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPIBM$207.3B$219.99$67.5B$10.6B32.4%1.88—0.963/92/93/70/3F-Score 64/11
    Fortinet, Inc.FTNT$130.2B$175.96$6.8B$1.9B149.8%0.8130.7%1.172/95/93/71/3F-Score 63/11
    Hewlett Packard Enterprise CoHPE$81.6B$61.49$34.3B$57.0M0.2%0.91-1.3%1.011/90/91/70/3F-Score 42/11
    NetApp, Inc.NTAP$41.1B$209.18$6.2B$1.3B94.4%1.8426.8%1.443/95/93/71/3F-Score 85/11