WESTERN DIGITAL CORP
WDCAbout the company
Western Digital Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells data storage devices and solutions based on hard disk drive (HDD) technology in the United States, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company offers internal HDDs, data center drives, data center platforms, external drives, portable drives, NAS for home and office, and accessories.
Investment snapshot
Positive
4
BUY / PASS
Neutral / negative
0 / 11
NEUTRAL / FAIL
Median fair value
$42.00
-90.7% vs price
Models with upside
0 / 16
Positive margin of safety
Key risk
No clean pass — all 12 investors flag at least one valuation criterion
Framework analysis
| Verdict | Meaning |
|---|---|
| BUY | Positive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met. |
| PASS | The company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state. |
| NEUTRAL | Neither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position. |
| FAIL | The company does not clear the framework's requirements. |
| Ranked | Ranked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL. |
| Metric | O'Shaughnessy Systematic Factor Composite | Lynch GARP | Buffett Quality Compounder | Pabrai Dhandho Framework | Akre Three-Legged Stool | Schloss Asset-Value Discipline | Neff Low-P/E Total Return | Sleep Scale Economies Shared | Templeton Global Bargain Hunter | Marks Risk-Aware Value | Munger Quality Focus | Ackman Activist Value | Dreman Contrarian Value | Piotroski F-Score | Greenblatt Magic Formula | Graham Defensive Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdict | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | PASS | FAIL | FAIL | PASS | FAIL | FAIL | PASS | PASS | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL · Rank #1257 (Top 39.2%) | FAIL |
| Score | ||||||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||||||||||||||||
| Intrinsic Value | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | |||||||||||
| Margin of Safety | N/A | -397.9% | -457.8% | -1124.3% | -534.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | -2972.4% | -12189.4% | -808.2% | -868.4% | -1088.7% | N/A | -1300.9% | -979.7% |
| Data As Of | 10-K (2026-08-25) | 10-K (2026-08-25) | 10-K (2026-08-25) | 10-K (2026-08-25) | 10-K (2026-08-25) | 10-K (2026-08-24) | 10-K (2026-08-24) | 10-K (2026-08-23) | 10-K (2026-08-23) | 10-K (2026-08-23) | 10-K (2026-08-23) | 10-K (2026-08-23) | 10-K (2026-08-23) | 10-K (2026-08-23) | 10-K (2026-08-23) | 10-K (2026-08-23) |
Where It Passes
Where It Falls Short
- Valuation0% pass✓ 1✗ 25▾
No clean pass — all 12 investors flag at least one valuation criterion
Revenue / market capitalization+0.0582; #4428/5203 (top 85.1%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionNet income / market capitalization+1.16%; #2790/6251 (top 44.6%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+0.78%; #2413/4487 (top 53.8%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionTrailing six-month price return through the evaluation date+67.65%; #564/6203 (top 9.1%)✓OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionBasic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)4.98✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)P/E or FCF YieldP/E=88.6x, FCF Yield=0.8%✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%Price / Book Value per Share29.62x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)✗Templeton< 1.5x✗Dreman< 1.2xPrice / Tangible Book Value per Share29.62x✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)Book Value per Share Change✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)Price / Diluted EPS88.6x✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)(EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E0.20✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)Price / EPS88.6x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)✗Dreman< 12xPrice vs. Trailing Low1122% of trailing low ($40.43)✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/E=88.6x, P/B=29.6x✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0Discount to Intrinsic Value-1088.7% (IV=$38.15 vs Price=$453.48)✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valueValuation ReasonablenessP/E=88.6x, OE Yield=1.2%✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%Price / FCF per Share123.0x✗Ackman<= 25Price / (CFO / Shares)93.0x✗Dreman< 8xEBIT / Enterprise Value1.4%✗Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=1.4%, ROC=45.6%✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%Price / 3-yr avg EPS178.3x✗Graham<= 15xPrice-to-Book Ratio29.6x✗Graham<= 1.5xP/E x P/B5,281.6✗Graham<= 22.5 - Valuation models0% pass✗ 11▾
WDC overvalued: all 11 models price fair value below $453.48 (median $42.00)
Lynch fair value$91.07✗Lynch-397.9% margin vs $453.48Buffett fair value$81.30✗Buffett-457.8% margin vs $453.48Pabrai fair value$37.04✗Pabrai-1124.3% margin vs $453.48Akre fair value$71.47✗Akre-534.5% margin vs $453.48Templeton fair value$14.76✗Templeton-2972.4% margin vs $453.48Marks fair value$3.69✗Marks-12189.4% margin vs $453.48Munger fair value$49.93✗Munger-808.2% margin vs $453.48Ackman fair value$46.83✗Ackman-868.4% margin vs $453.48Dreman fair value$38.15✗Dreman-1088.7% margin vs $453.48Greenblatt fair value$32.37✗Greenblatt-1300.9% margin vs $453.48Graham fair value$42.00✗Graham-979.7% margin vs $453.48 - Debt & Leverage18% pass✓ 2✗ 12▾
9 of 11 flag WDC's debt & leverage — Lynch, Buffett, Akre +6 more
Total Debt / Equity1.31✗Lynch< 0.33Cash - Long-term Debt$-371.0M✗LynchPositive preferredDebt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 1.31, IC: 6.4x✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5xDebt Levels1.31✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity1.31x✗SchlossD/E < 1.00x✗Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✗Dreman< 0.8Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.08x✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)✗Dreman> 1.5Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=6.4x, D/EBITDA=2.5x✓MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4xTotal Debt / Shareholders Equity1.31✗Ackman<= 1.0LT Debt / Total Assets Change17.75% -> 17.75%✓PiotroskiDecreased YoYLT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $2.5B vs NCA $438.0M✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets - Efficiency25% pass✓ 3✗ 8▾
6 of 8 flag WDC's efficiency — Buffett, Akre, Sleep +3 more
ROIC (3-5 yr avg)8.6%✗Buffett> 10%ROIC - WACC-1.4%✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=-1.7%; FY2024: ROIC=18.4%; FY2025: ROIC=15.1%✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in eachReinvestment Rate x ROIC14.7% (RR=98% x ROIC=15.1%)✓AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%ROIC (5-year)2/5 years above 12% (latest 15.1%)✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of yearsReturn on Invested Capital15.1%✓Munger> 15%Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.08✗Dreman> 1.5Current Ratio Change YoY1.08 -> 1.08✗PiotroskiIncreased YoYRevenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.68x -> 0.68x✗PiotroskiImproved YoYEBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)45.6%✓Greenblatt> 25%Current Ratio1.08✗Graham>= 2.0 - Verdicts25% pass✓ 4✗ 12▾
Split decision: 11 FAIL · 4 PASS
Overall verdict✗OshaughnessyFAIL (Rank #726/953 (Top 76.2%))✗LynchFAIL (2/7)✗BuffettFAIL (1/9)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✓AkrePASS (3/6)✗SchlossFAIL (0/7)✗NeffFAIL (3/6)✓SleepPASS (3/6)✗TempletonFAIL (3/8)✗MarksFAIL (3/5)✓MungerPASS (2/4)✓AckmanPASS (5/9)✗DremanFAIL (3/11)✗PiotroskiFAIL (F-Score 3)✗GreenblattRank #1257✗GrahamFAIL (1/9) - Profitability33% pass✓ 13✗ 18▾
10 of 15 flag WDC's profitability — Oshaughnessy, Lynch, Buffett +7 more
Net income / market capitalization+1.16%; #2790/6251 (top 44.6%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionBasic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)4.98✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)3-5 Year EPS CAGR17.8%✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passROE35.6%✓Lynch> 15%Net Income Positive (10+ years)17/26 years positive✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ yearsROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)11.2%✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)Operating Margin (10-yr trend)24.5% (latest)✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 yearsFree Cash Flow Proxy$1.9B✓BuffettPositive and growingEarnings Variance (10-yr CoV)✗BuffettCoV < 0.3Retained Earnings Effectiveness✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value createdMargin of SafetyP/E=88.6x, P/B=29.6x✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15Return on Equity21.3% (3-yr avg)✓AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)Positive Diluted-EPS Years6/10 years positive✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR17.8% over 4 years✓Neff7%-20% annualizedRevenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 28.1% -> 38.8%, operating margin -6.4% -> 24.5%✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding5-Year EPS CAGR17.8% CAGR over 4 years✓Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)Operating Margin Trend-6.4% (2023) -> 24.5% (2025)✓TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 yearsDiscount to Intrinsic Value-1088.7% (IV=$38.15 vs Price=$453.48)✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePositive Net Income Frequency17/22 years positive✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 yearsOperating Income / Revenue24.5%✓Ackman>= 15%Net Income / Shareholders Equity35.6%✓Ackman>= 15%Pre-Tax Income / Revenue11.9%✓Dreman>= 8%Net Income / Shareholders' Equity35.6%✓Dreman> 12%Net Income / Total Assets13.49%✓PiotroskiROA > 0ROA Change YoY13.49% -> 13.49% (delta: +0.00%)✗PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=12.08%, ROA=13.49%✗PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAGross Margin Change YoY38.8% -> 38.8%✗PiotroskiImproved YoYEBIT / Enterprise Value1.4%✗Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=1.4%, ROC=45.6%✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%Positive EPS (10 years)16/26 years positive✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 yearsEPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)✗Graham>= 33% growth - Growth38% pass✓ 5✗ 8▾
5 of 8 flag WDC's growth — Lynch, Sleep, Ackman +2 more
Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)4.98✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)3-5 Year EPS CAGR17.8%✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passInventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: 0.0% vs Rev: 0.0%✗LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR17.8% over 4 years✓Neff7%-20% annualizedRevenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 28.1% -> 38.8%, operating margin -6.4% -> 24.5%✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding5-year Revenue CAGR-10.7%✗SleepCAGR > 7%5-Year EPS CAGR17.8% CAGR over 4 years✓Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)Positive Net Income Frequency17/22 years positive✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years3yr Median Revenue Growth1.0%✗Ackman>= 5%Positive EPS Growth Frequency3/5 years with positive EPS growth✓AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 yearsEPS Growth Direction✗DremanPositive over recent yearsEPS CAGR✗Dreman> 5% annualizedEPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)✗Graham>= 33% growth - Cash Flow40% pass✓ 5✗ 7▾
6 of 10 flag WDC's cash flow — Oshaughnessy, Lynch, Pabrai +3 more
(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+0.78%; #2413/4487 (top 53.8%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionFCF Positive and Growing$1.3B✗LynchPositive and growingFree Cash Flow Proxy$1.9B✓BuffettPositive and growingP/E or FCF YieldP/E=88.6x, FCF Yield=0.8%✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$1.3B✓Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency19/21 years positive✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available yearsFCF Positive17/19 years FCF positive✓MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years(OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap0.8%✗Ackman>= 4%Price / FCF per Share123.0x✗Ackman<= 25Price / (CFO / Shares)93.0x✗Dreman< 8xOperating Cash Flow$1.7B✓PiotroskiCFO > 0(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=12.08%, ROA=13.49%✗PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
Business & financials
Company Profile
Financial Snapshot
Shareholder Return
Fiscal 2025
Retired 0.0% of shares last year, 1.1% issued over two.
- Buybacks
- —
- Dividends
- $44.0M
What drove EPS
A buyback raises earnings per share without the company earning more. This splits each year's change into the two.
Share count is the denominator the filer used for diluted EPS, recovered as net income ÷ EPS — not the balance-sheet count, which is a point-in-time figure and would put the timing difference into this split. Years with a loss are omitted: a smaller share count makes a loss per share larger, so the decomposition inverts.
Company Financials
Annual data (10-K) · Last 5 years
| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $163.5B | $12.4Best. | $14.8Best. | $10.6Best. | $12.0Best. |
| Revenue | $9.5B | $9.5B↑51% | $6.3B↑1% | $6.3B↓63% | $16.9B |
| Operating Income | $2.3B | $2.3B↑679% | -$403.0M↑26% | -$548.0M↓145% | $1.2B |
| Net Income | $1.9B | $1.9B↑337% | -$798.0M↑53% | -$1.7B↓305% | $821.0M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $5.12 | $5.12↑296% | $-2.61↓155% | $4.75↑79% | $2.66 |
| Gross Margin | 38.8% | 38.8%↑38% | 28.1%↑26% | 22.2%↓17% | 26.7% |
| Operating Margin | 24.5% | 24.5%↑484% | -6.4%↑27% | -8.8%↓222% | 7.2% |
| ROE | 35.6% | 35.6%↑582% | -7.4%↑52% | -15.4%↓302% | 7.6% |
| Total Debt | $6.9B↑47% | $4.7B↓37% | $7.4B↑5% | $7.1B↓19% | $8.7B |
| Shareholders' Equity | $5.3B | $5.3B↓51% | $10.8B↓1% | $11.0B↑2% | $10.8B |
| Current Ratio | 1.08 | 1.08↓18% | 1.32↓9% | 1.45↓28% | 2.00 |
| Debt / Equity | 1.31↑47% | 0.89↑29% | 0.69↑7% | 0.64↓20% | 0.81 |
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.7B | $1.7B↑675% | -$294.0M↑28% | -$408.0M↓121% | $1.9B |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.3B | $1.3B↑264% | -$781.0M↑36% | -$1.2B↓263% | $752.0M |
Score history
Historical Score Timeline
Industry peers
Industry Peers
Similar companies in Computers
WDC vs Peers — Financial Grading
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Revenue | Net Income | ROE | D/E | Op. Margin | Curr. Ratio | Graham | Buffett | Lynch | Greenblatt | Piotroski | Dreman |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple Inc.AAPL | $4.81T | $329.40 | $416.2B | $112.0B | 151.9% | 1.23 | 32.0% | 0.89 | 1/9 | 5/9 | 3/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 8 | 3/11 |
| CISCO SYSTEMS, INC.CSCO | $420.8B | $106.74 | $56.7B | $10.2B | 21.7% | 0.60 | 20.8% | 1.00 | 4/9 | 6/9 | 3/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 8 | 5/11 |
| Palo Alto Networks IncPANW | $317.7B | $388.41 | $9.2B | $1.1B | 14.5% | 0.00 | 13.5% | 0.94 | 1/9 | 3/9 | 3/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 5 | 4/11 |
| Seagate Technology Holdings plcSTX | $209.0B | $921.51 | $12.2B | $3.2B | 146.9% | 1.65 | 33.6% | 1.67 | 3/9 | 5/9 | 4/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 8 | 6/11 |
| INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPIBM | $207.3B | $219.99 | $67.5B | $10.6B | 32.4% | 1.88 | — | 0.96 | 3/9 | 2/9 | 3/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 6 | 4/11 |
| Fortinet, Inc.FTNT | $130.2B | $175.96 | $6.8B | $1.9B | 149.8% | 0.81 | 30.7% | 1.17 | 2/9 | 5/9 | 3/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 6 | 3/11 |
| Hewlett Packard Enterprise CoHPE | $81.6B | $61.49 | $34.3B | $57.0M | 0.2% | 0.91 | -1.3% | 1.01 | 1/9 | 0/9 | 1/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 4 | 2/11 |
| NetApp, Inc.NTAP | $41.1B | $209.18 | $6.2B | $1.3B | 94.4% | 1.84 | 26.8% | 1.44 | 3/9 | 5/9 | 3/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 8 | 5/11 |