INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP

IBM
About the company

International Business Machines Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated solutions and services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through Software, Consulting, Infrastructure, and Financing segments. The Software segment offers hybrid cloud and AI platforms that allow clients to realize their digital and AI transformations across the applications, data, and environments in which they operate.

Country: United StatesPrice: $219.99Market Cap: $207.3B

Investment snapshot

13%positive consensus
Scored 37d ago

Positive

2

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

4 / 9

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$128.70

-41.5% vs price

Models with upside

1 / 16

Positive margin of safety

Key risk

All 8 investors flag IBM's efficiency

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.
Scored from 10-K37d ago
MetricO'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

Munger

Quality Focus

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Ackman

Activist Value

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Piotroski

F-Score

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Graham

Defensive Value

VerdictNEUTRALPASSFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILNEUTRALFAILPASSNEUTRALFAILNEUTRALNot rankedFAIL
Score
Analysis
Intrinsic ValueN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of SafetyN/A-58.4%-86.3%N/A-59.0%N/A+41.4%N/AN/AN/A-116.4%-22.8%-70.9%N/A-160.5%-135.2%
Data As Of10-K (2026-08-25)10-K (2026-08-25)10-K (2026-08-25)10-K (2026-08-25)10-K (2026-08-25)10-K (2026-08-25)10-K (2026-08-25)10-K (2026-08-24)10-K (2026-08-24)10-K (2026-08-23)10-K (2026-08-23)10-K (2026-08-23)10-K (2026-08-23)10-K (2026-08-23)10-K (2026-08-23)10-K (2026-08-23)

Where It Passes

    Where It Falls Short

    • Efficiency0% pass✗ 11▾

      All 8 investors flag IBM's efficiency

      Return on Invested Capital
      ✗Munger> 15%
      ROIC (3-5 yr avg)
      ✗Buffett> 10%
      ROIC - WACC
      ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
      ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=unavailable; FY2024: ROIC=unavailable; FY2025: ROIC=unavailable
      ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
      Reinvestment Rate x ROIC
      ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
      ROIC (5-year)
      ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.96
      ✗Dreman> 1.5
      Current Ratio Change YoY1.04 -> 0.96
      ✗PiotroskiIncreased YoY
      Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.46x -> 0.44x
      ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
      EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)N/A (invested capital <= 0)
      ✗Greenblatt> 25%
      Current Ratio0.96
      ✗Graham>= 2.0
    • Debt & Leverage9% pass✓ 1✗ 13▾

      10 of 11 flag IBM's debt & leverage — Munger, Marks, Buffett +7 more

      Debt Levels1.88
      ✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
      Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=6.3x, D/EBITDA=N/A (D&A unavailable)
      ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
      Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 1.88, IC: 6.3x
      ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
      Total Debt / Equity1.88
      ✗Lynch< 0.33
      Cash - Long-term Debt$-41.2B
      ✗LynchPositive preferred
      Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity1.88x
      ✗SchlossD/E < 1.00x✗Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✗Dreman< 0.8
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.96x
      ✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)✗Dreman> 1.5
      Total Debt / Shareholders Equity1.88
      ✗Ackman<= 1.0
      LT Debt / Total Assets Change36.37% -> 36.10%
      ✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY
      LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $54.8B vs NCA $-1.7B
      ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
    • Valuation models11% pass✓ 1✗ 8▾

      Models split on IBM at $219.99 — fair values range $84.46–$375.13

      Munger fair value$138.91
      ✗Munger-58.4% margin vs $219.99
      Marks fair value$118.08
      ✗Marks-86.3% margin vs $219.99
      Lynch fair value$138.35
      ✗Lynch-59.0% margin vs $219.99
      Akre fair value$375.13
      ✓Akre+41.4% margin vs $219.99
      Templeton fair value$101.67
      ✗Templeton-116.4% margin vs $219.99
      Ackman fair value$179.08
      ✗Ackman-22.8% margin vs $219.99
      Dreman fair value$128.70
      ✗Dreman-70.9% margin vs $219.99
      Greenblatt fair value$84.46
      ✗Greenblatt-160.5% margin vs $219.99
      Graham fair value$93.55
      ✗Graham-135.2% margin vs $219.99
    • Valuation17% pass✓ 5✗ 21▾

      10 of 12 flag IBM's valuation — Oshaughnessy, Marks, Lynch +7 more

      Revenue / market capitalization+0.3258; #3061/5203 (top 58.8%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Net income / market capitalization+5.11%; #1551/6251 (top 24.8%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+5.84%; #1291/4487 (top 28.8%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-9.24%; #3851/6203 (top 62.1%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Valuation ReasonablenessP/E=19.7x
      ✓MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
      P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/E=19.7x, P/B=6.3x
      ✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
      Discount to Intrinsic Value-70.9% (IV=$128.70 vs Price=$219.99)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)1.59
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      P/E or FCF YieldP/E=19.7x, FCF Yield=5.8%
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      Price / Book Value per Share6.32x
      ✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)✗Templeton< 1.5x✗Dreman< 1.2x
      Price / Tangible Book Value per ShareN/A (non-positive TBVPS)
      ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
      Book Value per Share Change+51.0%
      ✓SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
      Price / Diluted EPS19.7x
      ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
      (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E0.78
      ✓Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
      Price / EPS19.7x
      ✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)✗Dreman< 12x
      Price vs. Trailing Low100% of trailing low ($219.99)
      ✓Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
      Price / FCF per Share17.0x
      ✓Ackman<= 25
      Price / (CFO / Shares)15.6x
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      EBIT / Enterprise Value4.8%
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=4.8%, ROC=N/A (invested capital <= 0)
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Price / 3-yr avg EPS25.6x
      ✗Graham<= 15x
      Price-to-Book Ratio6.3x
      ✗Graham<= 1.5x
      P/E x P/B162.00
      ✗Graham<= 22.5
    • Verdicts18% pass✓ 2✗ 9▾

      Split decision: 9 FAIL · 4 NEUTRAL · 2 PASS

      Overall verdict
      •OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✓MungerPASS (2/4)✗MarksFAIL (2/5)✗BuffettFAIL (2/9)✗LynchFAIL (3/7)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (2/6)✗SchlossFAIL (3/7)•NeffNEUTRAL (5/6)✗SleepFAIL (2/6)✓TempletonPASS (4/8)•AckmanNEUTRAL (6/9)✗DremanFAIL (4/11)•PiotroskiNEUTRAL (F-Score 6)•GreenblattNot ranked✗GrahamFAIL (3/9)
    • Profitability33% pass✓ 17✗ 14▾

      10 of 15 flag IBM's profitability — Oshaughnessy, Marks, Buffett +7 more

      Net income / market capitalization+5.11%; #1551/6251 (top 24.8%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Discount to Intrinsic Value-70.9% (IV=$128.70 vs Price=$219.99)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Positive Net Income Frequency18/18 years positive
      ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      Net Income Positive (10+ years)18/18 years positive
      ✓BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
      ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)25.1%
      ✓Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
      Operating Margin (10-yr trend)
      ✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
      Free Cash Flow Proxy
      ✗BuffettPositive and growing
      Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)0.34
      ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
      Retained Earnings Effectiveness
      ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)1.59
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR12.4%
      ✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      ROE32.4%
      ✓Lynch> 15%
      Margin of SafetyP/E=19.7x, P/B=6.3x
      ✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
      Return on Equity29.3% (3-yr avg)
      ✓AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
      Positive Diluted-EPS Years10/10 years positive
      ✓Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR12.4% over 5 years
      ✓Neff7%-20% annualized
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      5-Year EPS CAGR12.4% CAGR over 5 years
      ✓Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Operating Margin Trend
      ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
      Operating Income / Revenue
      ✗Ackman>= 15%
      Net Income / Shareholders Equity32.4%
      ✓Ackman>= 15%
      Pre-Tax Income / Revenue15.3%
      ✓Dreman>= 8%
      Net Income / Shareholders' Equity32.4%
      ✓Dreman> 12%
      Net Income / Total Assets6.97%
      ✓PiotroskiROA > 0
      ROA Change YoY4.39% -> 6.97% (delta: +2.58%)
      ✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=8.69%, ROA=6.97%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Gross Margin Change YoY56.7% -> 58.2%
      ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
      EBIT / Enterprise Value4.8%
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=4.8%, ROC=N/A (invested capital <= 0)
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Positive EPS (10 years)18/18 years positive
      ✓GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)-15.4%
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    • Growth38% pass✓ 7✗ 6▾

      5 of 8 flag IBM's growth — Lynch, Sleep, Ackman +2 more

      Positive Net Income Frequency18/18 years positive
      ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)1.59
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR12.4%
      ✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: -5.4% vs Rev: 7.6%
      ✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR12.4% over 5 years
      ✓Neff7%-20% annualized
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      5-year Revenue CAGR4.1%
      ✗SleepCAGR > 7%
      5-Year EPS CAGR12.4% CAGR over 5 years
      ✓Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      3yr Median Revenue Growth2.2%
      ✗Ackman>= 5%
      Positive EPS Growth Frequency3/5 years with positive EPS growth
      ✓AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
      EPS Growth Direction$8.89 (2008) -> $11.17 (2025)
      ✓DremanPositive over recent years
      EPS CAGR1.4% CAGR over 17 years
      ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)-15.4%
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    • Cash Flow50% pass✓ 7✗ 5▾

      5 of 10 pass — Oshaughnessy, Buffett, Lynch +2 more object

      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+5.84%; #1291/4487 (top 28.8%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      FCF Positive18/18 years FCF positive
      ✓MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
      Free Cash Flow Proxy
      ✗BuffettPositive and growing
      FCF Positive and Growing$12.1B
      ✗LynchPositive and growing
      P/E or FCF YieldP/E=19.7x, FCF Yield=5.8%
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$12.1B
      ✓Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
      Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency18/18 years positive
      ✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
      (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap5.9%
      ✓Ackman>= 4%
      Price / FCF per Share17.0x
      ✓Ackman<= 25
      Price / (CFO / Shares)15.6x
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      Operating Cash Flow$13.2B
      ✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=8.69%, ROA=6.97%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA

    Business & financials

    Company Profile

    Industry: Computers
    SIC Sector: Industrial Machinery & Computing
    Size: Mega Cap($207.3B)
    Revenue: $67.5B+7.6% YoY
    Net Income: $10.6B+75.9% YoY

    Financial Snapshot

    Operating Margin--
    Return on Equity32.4%
    Debt / Equity1.88
    Current Ratio0.96
    EPS (Diluted)$11.17+73.7% 1y
    Shares Retired−1.2% / −2.4% 2y

    Shareholder Return

    Fiscal 2025

    Issued 1.2% of shares last year, 2.4% issued over two.

    Buybacks
    —
    Dividends
    $6.3B

    What drove EPS

    A buyback raises earnings per share without the company earning more. This splits each year's change into the two.

    FY22
    −71.7% = −71.5% + −0.7%
    FY23
    352.2% = 357.7% + −1.2%
    FY24
    −21.0% = −19.7% + −1.6%
    FY25
    73.7% = 75.9% + −1.2%
    Earnings Fewer shares More shares

    The two parts do not sum exactly to the total — the difference is the cross-term, plus preferred capital where the company has any. It is left visible rather than distributed into the other two.

    Share count is the denominator the filer used for diluted EPS, recovered as net income ÷ EPS — not the balance-sheet count, which is a point-in-time figure and would put the timing difference into this split. Years with a loss are omitted: a smaller share count makes a loss per share larger, so the decomposition inverts.

    Company Financials

    Annual data (10-K) · Last 5 years

    MetricFY 2025FY 2024FY 2023FY 2022FY 2021
    Market Cap$207.3B$229.7Best.$157.4Best.$108.9Best.$101.9Best.
    Revenue$67.5B↑8%$62.8B↑1%$61.9B↑2%$60.5B↑6%$57.4B
    Operating Income----------
    Net Income$10.6B↑76%$6.0B↓20%$7.5B↑358%$1.6B↓71%$5.7B
    EPS (Diluted)$11.17↑74%$6.43↓21%$8.14↑352%$1.80↓72%$6.35
    Gross Margin58.2%↑3%56.7%↑2%55.4%↑3%54.0%↓2%54.9%
    Operating Margin—————
    ROE32.4%↑47%22.1%↓34%33.3%↑346%7.5%↓75%30.4%
    Total Debt$61.3B↑11%$54.9B↓3%$56.5B↑11%$50.9B↓1%$51.7B
    Shareholders' Equity$32.6B↑20%$27.3B↑21%$22.5B↑3%$21.9B↑16%$18.9B
    Current Ratio0.96↓8%1.04↑8%0.96↑4%0.92↑5%0.88
    Debt / Equity1.88↓7%2.01↓20%2.51↑8%2.32↓15%2.73
    Operating Cash Flow$13.2B↓2%$13.4B↓3%$13.9B↑34%$10.4B↓18%$12.8B
    Free Cash Flow$12.1B↓2%$12.4B↓2%$12.7B↑40%$9.1B↓15%$10.7B

    Score history

    Historical Score Timeline

    Industry peers

    Industry Peers

    Similar companies in Computers

    IBM vs Peers — Financial Grading

    Revenue$67.5BTop 25%
    Net Income$10.6BTop 25%
    ROE32.4%Median
    D/E1.88Bottom 25%
    Op. Margin—
    Curr. Ratio0.96Bottom 25%
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    WESTERN DIGITAL CORPWDC$163.5B$453.48$9.5B$1.9B35.6%1.3124.5%1.081/91/92/71/3F-Score 33/11
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    Hewlett Packard Enterprise CoHPE$81.6B$61.49$34.3B$57.0M0.2%0.91-1.3%1.011/90/91/70/3F-Score 42/11
    NetApp, Inc.NTAP$41.1B$209.18$6.2B$1.3B94.4%1.8426.8%1.443/95/93/71/3F-Score 85/11