PEABODY ENERGY CORP
BTUPeabody Energy Corporation engages in the production of metallurgical and thermal coal. It operates through Seaborne Thermal, Seaborne Metallurgical, Powder River Basin, and Other U.S. Thermal segments.
Company Profile
Financial Snapshot
Shareholder Return
Fiscal 2025
Retired 14.2% of shares last year, 5.4% over two.
- Buybacks
- $0
- Dividends
- $36.5M
The share count fell without reported repurchases, so this is not a buyback — the two figures are independent and are not reconciled.
What drove EPS
A buyback raises earnings per share without the company earning more. This splits each year's change into the two.
The two parts do not sum exactly to the total — the difference is the cross-term, plus preferred capital where the company has any. It is left visible rather than distributed into the other two.
Share count is the denominator the filer used for diluted EPS, recovered as net income ÷ EPS — not the balance-sheet count, which is a point-in-time figure and would put the timing difference into this split. Years with a loss are omitted: a smaller share count makes a loss per share larger, so the decomposition inverts.
Company Financials
Annual data (10-K) · Last 5 years
| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $3.1B | $2.5Best. | $3.3Best. | $3.9Best. | $1.4Best. |
| Revenue | $3.9B↓9% | $4.2B↓14% | $4.9B↓1% | $5.0B↑50% | $3.3B |
| Operating Income | -$80.1M↓118% | $445.3M↓59% | $1.1B↓22% | $1.4B↑220% | $432.2M |
| Net Income | -$42.5M↓111% | $403.5M↓51% | $815.6M↓38% | $1.3B↑255% | $371.4M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.43↓116% | $2.70↓46% | $5.00↓40% | $8.31↑158% | $3.22 |
| Gross Margin | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating Margin | -2.1%↓120% | 10.5%↓52% | 21.7%↓22% | 27.7%↑113% | 13.0% |
| ROE | -1.2%↓111% | 11.1%↓52% | 23.0%↓44% | 40.8%↑94% | 21.1% |
| Total Debt | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Shareholders' Equity | $3.5B↓3% | $3.7B↑3% | $3.5B↑10% | $3.2B↑83% | $1.8B |
| Current Ratio | 1.85↓14% | 2.15↑4% | 2.06↓20% | 2.58↑34% | 1.93 |
| Debt / Equity | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating Cash Flow | $333.7M↓45% | $606.5M↓41% | $1.0B↓12% | $1.2B↑179% | $420.0M |
| Free Cash Flow | -$77.7M↓138% | $205.2M↓70% | $687.2M↓28% | $952.1M↑302% | $236.9M |
| Metric | Marks Risk-Aware Value | Akre Three-Legged Stool | Druckenmiller Macro-Enhanced Growth | Spier Value Checklist | Pabrai Dhandho Framework | Munger Quality Focus | Ackman Activist Value | Piotroski F-Score | Greenblatt Magic Formula | Lynch GARP | Buffett Quality Compounder | Graham Defensive Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdict | HOLD | FAIL | HOLD | BUY | BUY | PASS | FAIL | PASS | Not ranked | FAIL | PASS | FAIL |
| Score | ||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||||||||||||
| Intrinsic Value | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | |||||||
| Margin of Safety | N/A | +57.4% | -0.1% | +50.4% | -343.1% | +57.9% | N/A | +12.2% | +18.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Data As Of | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) |
Where They Agree
Where They Disagree
- Profitability
1 of 11 pass — Marks, Akre, Druckenmiller +7 more object
Margin of SafetyP/B=1.1x✗SpierP/E < 15 AND P/B < 2.0✓PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15Discount to Intrinsic Value✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePositive Net Income Frequency17/25 years positive✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 yearsReturn on Equity10.9% (3-yr avg)✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)Show 19 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
EPS Growth Acceleration✗DruckenmillerAccelerating EPS growthOperating Income / Revenue-2.1%✗Ackman>= 15%Net Income / Shareholders Equity-1.2%✗Ackman>= 15%Net Income / Total Assets-0.73%✗PiotroskiROA > 0ROA Change YoY6.78% -> -0.73% (delta: -7.51%)✗PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=5.75%, ROA=-0.73%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAGross Margin Change YoY✗PiotroskiImproved YoYEBIT / Enterprise Value-2.5%✗Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-2.5%, ROC=-2.4%✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%3-5 Year EPS CAGR✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passROE-1.2%✗Lynch> 15%Net Income Positive (10+ years)17/26 years positive✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ yearsROE (5-yr avg)18.9%✓Buffett> 15% (5-yr avg)Operating Margin (10-yr trend)-2.1% (latest)✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 yearsFree Cash Flow Proxy$-69.4M✗BuffettPositive and growingEarnings Variance (10-yr CoV)✗BuffettCoV < 0.3Retained Earnings Effectiveness1.26x✓Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value createdPositive EPS (10 years)14/26 years positive✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 yearsEPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)✗Graham>= 33% growth - Debt & Leverage
1 of 8 pass — Marks, Akre, Munger +4 more object
Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=-1.8x, D/EBITDA=N/A✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4xDebt Levels✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5Total Debt / Shareholders Equity✗Ackman<= 1.0LT Debt / Total Assets Change0.00% -> 0.00%✓PiotroskiDecreased YoYShow 4 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Total Debt / Equity✗Lynch< 0.33Cash - Long-term Debt✗LynchPositive preferredDebt/Equity & Interest Coverage✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5xLT Debt vs Net Current Assets✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets - Valuation
1 of 9 pass — Marks, Spier, Pabrai +5 more object
P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=1.1x✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0Discount to Intrinsic Value✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePrice vs. 200-day MAQualitative✓DruckenmillerPrice above 200-day moving averageMargin of SafetyP/B=1.1x✗SpierP/E < 15 AND P/B < 2.0Show 9 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=-2.0%✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%Valuation ReasonablenessOE Yield=-1.8%✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)✗Ackman<= 25EBIT / Enterprise Value-2.5%✗Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-2.5%, ROC=-2.4%✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%P/E / EPS Growth Rate✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)Price / 3-yr avg EPS✗Graham<= 15xPrice-to-Book Ratio1.1x✓Graham<= 1.5xP/E x P/B✗Graham<= 22.5 - Cash Flow
2 of 6 pass — Pabrai, Ackman, Lynch +1 more object
FCF Positive18/24 years FCF positive✓MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent yearsP/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=-2.0%✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%(OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap-2.0%✗Ackman>= 4%Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)✗Ackman<= 25Show 4 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Operating Cash Flow$333.7M✓PiotroskiCFO > 0(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=5.75%, ROA=-0.73%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAFCF Positive and Growing$-77.7M✗LynchPositive and growingFree Cash Flow Proxy$-69.4M✗BuffettPositive and growing - Growth
1 of 5 pass — Druckenmiller, Ackman, Lynch +1 more object
Positive Net Income Frequency17/25 years positive✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 yearsEPS Growth Acceleration✗DruckenmillerAccelerating EPS growthRevenue Growth RateLatest: -8.9%, Prior: -14.4%✓DruckenmillerRevenue growth accelerating3yr Median Revenue Growth-8.9%✗Ackman>= 5%Show 5 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Positive EPS Growth Frequency✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 yearsP/E / EPS Growth Rate✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)3-5 Year EPS CAGR✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passInventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: -2.6% vs Rev: -8.9%✗LynchInventory growth < Revenue growthEPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)✗Graham>= 33% growth - Efficiency
1 of 6 pass — Akre, Munger, Piotroski +2 more object
ROIC (high and growing)3/9 years ROIC > 15% (latest: 22.7%)✓AkreROIC > 15% for 3+ yearsReinvestment Rate x ROIC✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%Return on Invested Capital✗Munger> 15%Current Ratio Change YoY2.15 -> 1.85✗PiotroskiIncreased YoYShow 5 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.71x -> 0.66x✗PiotroskiImproved YoYEBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)-2.4%✗Greenblatt> 25%ROIC (3-5 yr avg)18.2%✓Buffett> 10%ROIC - WACC+8.2%✓BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)Current Ratio1.85✗Graham>= 2.0 - Verdicts
Split decision: 4 FAIL · 3 PASS · 2 HOLD · 2 BUY
Overall verdict•MarksHOLD (6/8)✗AkreFAIL (2/7)•DruckenmillerHOLD (5/7)✓SpierBUY (7/8)✓PabraiBUY (7/8)✓MungerPASS (4/7)✗AckmanFAIL (2/9)✓PiotroskiPASS (F-Score 4)•GreenblattNot ranked✗LynchFAIL (0/7)✓BuffettPASS (4/9)✗GrahamFAIL (3/9) - Valuation models
Models split on BTU at $25.48 — fair values range $5.75–$60.47
Akre fair value$59.88✓Akre+57.4% margin vs $25.48Druckenmiller fair value$25.46✗Druckenmiller-0.1% margin vs $25.48Spier fair value$51.34✓Spier+50.4% margin vs $25.48Pabrai fair value$5.75✗Pabrai-343.1% margin vs $25.48Show 3 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Munger fair value$60.47✓Munger+57.9% margin vs $25.48Piotroski fair value$29.03✓Piotroski+12.2% margin vs $25.48Greenblatt fair value$31.13✓Greenblatt+18.1% margin vs $25.48
Historical Score Timeline
Industry Peers
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BTU vs Peers — Financial Grading
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Revenue | Net Income | ROE | D/E | Op. Margin | Curr. Ratio | Graham | Buffett | Lynch | Greenblatt | Piotroski |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WARRIOR MET COAL, INC.HCC | $5.2B | $98.20 | $1.3B | $57.0M | 2.7% | 0.07 | 3.5% | 3.19 | 3/9 | 5/9 | 3/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 4 |
| Core Natural Resources, Inc.CNR | $4.8B | $95.94 | $4.2B | $153.2M | -4.2% | 0.13 | -4.4% | 1.60 | 3/9 | 4/9 | 2/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 3 |
| ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LPARLP | $3.3B | $25.42 | $2.2B | $311.2M | 16.9% | 0.24 | 17.6% | 2.10 | 4/9 | 7/9 | 5/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 4 |
| Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.AMR | $2.1B | $166.05 | $2.1B | $61.7M | -4.0% | 0.00 | -2.9% | 4.47 | 6/9 | 4/9 | 2/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 4 |
| NATURAL RESOURCE PARTNERS LPNRP | $1.4B | $104.56 | $207.3M | $136.4M | 21.6% | 0.07 | 69.6% | 1.85 | 3/9 | 5/9 | 6/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 5 |
| Ramaco Resources, Inc.METCZ | $1.1B | $25.35 | $536.6M | $51.4M | -10.6% | 0.97 | -10.4% | 5.46 | 3/9 | 4/9 | 1/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 3 |
| NACCO INDUSTRIES INCNC | $321.8M | $42.64 | $277.2M | $17.6M | 4.1% | 0.23 | 7.9% | 3.09 | 5/9 | 2/9 | 4/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 6 |
| Coronado Global Resources Inc.CODQL | $310.2M | $0.18 | $1.9B | $432.1M | -66.5% | 1.06 | -17.0% | 1.55 | 2/9 | 2/9 | 0/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 2 |