Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
AMRAlpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc., a mining company, produces, processes, and sells met and thermal coal in Virginia and West Virginia. The company provides metallurgical coal products. It operates nineteen active mines and eight active coal preparation and load-out facilities. The company was formerly known as Contura Energy, Inc. and changed its name to Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
Company Profile
Financial Snapshot
Shareholder Return
Fiscal 2025
Retired 1.6% of shares last year, 1.0% over two.
- Buybacks
- —
- Dividends
- $415.0K
What drove EPS
A buyback raises earnings per share without the company earning more. This splits each year's change into the two.
The two parts do not sum exactly to the total — the difference is the cross-term, plus preferred capital where the company has any. It is left visible rather than distributed into the other two.
Share count is the denominator the filer used for diluted EPS, recovered as net income ÷ EPS — not the balance-sheet count, which is a point-in-time figure and would put the timing difference into this split. Years with a loss are omitted: a smaller share count makes a loss per share larger, so the decomposition inverts.
Company Financials
Annual data (10-K) · Last 5 years
| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $2.1B | $2.4Best. | $5.2Best. | $2.5Best. | $1.1Best. |
| Revenue | $2.1B↓28% | $3.0B↓15% | $3.5B↓15% | $4.1B↑82% | $2.3B |
| Operating Income | -$61.4M↓127% | $227.9M↓74% | $863.1M↓45% | $1.6B↑340% | $359.2M |
| Net Income | -$61.7M↓133% | $187.6M↓74% | $722.0M↓50% | $1.4B↑402% | $288.8M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-4.75↓133% | $14.28↓71% | $49.30↓38% | $79.49↑420% | $15.30 |
| Gross Margin | 9.6%↓44% | 17.1%↓47% | 32.1%↓27% | 44.3%↑72% | 25.7% |
| Operating Margin | -2.9%↓137% | 7.7%↓69% | 24.9%↓35% | 38.5%↑142% | 15.9% |
| ROE | -4.0%↓135% | 11.4%↓75% | 45.9%↓55% | 101.3%↑92% | 52.8% |
| Total Debt | $3.9M↑116% | $1.8M↓65% | $5.1M↓18% | $6.2M↓99% | $454.7M |
| Shareholders' Equity | $1.5B↓6% | $1.6B↑5% | $1.6B↑10% | $1.4B↑161% | $546.9M |
| Current Ratio | 4.47↑8% | 4.13↑22% | 3.38↑22% | 2.77↑10% | 2.53 |
| Debt / Equity | 0.00↑130% | 0.00↓67% | 0.00↓25% | 0.00↓99% | 0.83 |
| Operating Cash Flow | $144.9M↓75% | $579.9M↓32% | $851.2M↓43% | $1.5B↑748% | $174.9M |
| Free Cash Flow | $17.8M↓95% | $381.1M↓37% | $605.8M↓54% | $1.3B↑1340% | $91.6M |
| Metric | Marks Risk-Aware Value | Akre Three-Legged Stool | Druckenmiller Macro-Enhanced Growth | Spier Value Checklist | Pabrai Dhandho Framework | Munger Quality Focus | Ackman Activist Value | Piotroski F-Score | Greenblatt Magic Formula | Lynch GARP | Buffett Quality Compounder | Graham Defensive Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdict | BUY | PASS | PASS | BUY | BUY | HOLD | FAIL | PASS | Not ranked | FAIL | PASS | HOLD |
| Score | ||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||||||||||||
| Intrinsic Value | N/A | N/A | N/A | |||||||||
| Margin of Safety | +34.6% | +87.2% | -174.3% | +1.2% | -19.0% | -1035.8% | -1347.7% | -37.6% | +21.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Data As Of | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) |
Where They Agree
- Growth
All 5 investors flag AMR's growth
Positive Net Income Frequency6/9 years positive✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 yearsEPS Growth AccelerationLatest: -133.3%, Prior: -71.0%✗DruckenmillerAccelerating EPS growthRevenue Growth RateLatest: -28.0%, Prior: -14.8%✗DruckenmillerRevenue growth accelerating3yr Median Revenue Growth-15.4%✗Ackman>= 5%Show 5 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Positive EPS Growth Frequency2/5 years with positive EPS growth✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 yearsP/E / EPS Growth Rate✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)3-5 Year EPS CAGR✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passInventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: 14.0% vs Rev: -28.0%✗LynchInventory growth < Revenue growthEPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)✗Graham>= 33% growth
Where They Disagree
- Profitability
1 of 11 pass — Marks, Akre, Druckenmiller +7 more object
Margin of SafetyP/B=1.3x✗SpierP/E < 15 AND P/B < 2.0✓PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15Discount to Intrinsic Value44.7% (IV=$294.15 vs Price=$162.65)✓Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePositive Net Income Frequency6/9 years positive✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 yearsReturn on Equity17.8% (3-yr avg)✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)Show 19 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
EPS Growth AccelerationLatest: -133.3%, Prior: -71.0%✗DruckenmillerAccelerating EPS growthOperating Income / Revenue-2.9%✗Ackman>= 15%Net Income / Shareholders Equity-4.0%✗Ackman>= 15%Net Income / Total Assets-2.70%✗PiotroskiROA > 0ROA Change YoY7.69% -> -2.70% (delta: -10.40%)✗PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=6.35%, ROA=-2.70%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAGross Margin Change YoY17.1% -> 9.6%✗PiotroskiImproved YoYEBIT / Enterprise Value-3.6%✗Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-3.6%, ROC=None✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%3-5 Year EPS CAGR✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passROE-4.0%✗Lynch> 15%Net Income Positive (10+ years)6/10 years positive✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ yearsROE (5-yr avg)41.5%✓Buffett> 15% (5-yr avg)Operating Margin (10-yr trend)-2.9% (latest)✓BuffettStable or rising over 10 yearsFree Cash Flow Proxy$-14.3M✗BuffettPositive and growingEarnings Variance (10-yr CoV)✗BuffettCoV < 0.3Retained Earnings Effectiveness0.41x✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value createdPositive EPS (10 years)6/10 years positive✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 yearsEPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)✗Graham>= 33% growth - Debt & Leverage
5 of 8 pass — Marks, Piotroski and Buffett object
Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=-32.9x, D/EBITDA=0.0x✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4xDebt Levels0✓AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3✓MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5Total Debt / Shareholders Equity0✓Ackman<= 1.0LT Debt / Total Assets Change0.07% -> 0.17%✗PiotroskiDecreased YoYShow 4 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Total Debt / Equity0✓Lynch< 0.33Cash - Long-term Debt$362.1M✓LynchPositive preferredDebt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.00, IC: -32.9x✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5xLT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $3.9M vs NCA $712.8M✓GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets - Valuation
3 of 9 pass — Spier, Pabrai, Munger +3 more object
P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=1.3x✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0Discount to Intrinsic Value44.7% (IV=$294.15 vs Price=$162.65)✓Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePrice vs. 200-day MAQualitative✓DruckenmillerPrice above 200-day moving averageMargin of SafetyP/B=1.3x✗SpierP/E < 15 AND P/B < 2.0Show 9 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=0.9%✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%Valuation ReasonablenessOE Yield=-0.7%✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%Price / FCF per Share117.2x✗Ackman<= 25EBIT / Enterprise Value-3.6%✗Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-3.6%, ROC=None✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%P/E / EPS Growth Rate✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)Price / 3-yr avg EPS8.3x✓Graham<= 15xPrice-to-Book Ratio1.3x✓Graham<= 1.5xP/E x P/B11.20✓Graham<= 22.5 - Cash Flow
2 of 6 pass — Pabrai, Ackman, Lynch +1 more object
FCF Positive8/9 years FCF positive✓MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent yearsP/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=0.9%✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%(OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap0.9%✗Ackman>= 4%Price / FCF per Share117.2x✗Ackman<= 25Show 4 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Operating Cash Flow$144.9M✓PiotroskiCFO > 0(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=6.35%, ROA=-2.70%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAFCF Positive and Growing$17.8M✗LynchPositive and growingFree Cash Flow Proxy$-14.3M✗BuffettPositive and growing - Efficiency
2 of 6 pass — Akre, Munger, Piotroski +1 more object
ROIC (high and growing)3/8 years ROIC > 15% (latest: -3.1%)✓AkreROIC > 15% for 3+ yearsReinvestment Rate x ROICN/A (non-positive net income)✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%Return on Invested Capital-3.1%✗Munger> 15%Current Ratio Change YoY4.13 -> 4.47✓PiotroskiIncreased YoYShow 5 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY1.21x -> 0.93x✗PiotroskiImproved YoYEBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)✗Greenblatt> 25%ROIC (3-5 yr avg)40.9%✓Buffett> 10%ROIC - WACC+30.9%✓BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)Current Ratio4.47✓Graham>= 2.0 - Verdicts
Split decision: 4 PASS · 3 BUY · 2 HOLD · 2 FAIL
Overall verdict✓MarksBUY (6/8)✓AkrePASS (4/7)✓DruckenmillerPASS (4/7)✓SpierBUY (7/8)✓PabraiBUY (7/8)•MungerHOLD (5/7)✗AckmanFAIL (3/9)✓PiotroskiPASS (F-Score 4)•GreenblattNot ranked✗LynchFAIL (2/7)✓BuffettPASS (4/9)•GrahamHOLD (6/9) - Valuation models
Models split on AMR at $166.05 — fair values range $11.47–$1300.03
Marks fair value$253.78✓Marks+34.6% margin vs $166.05Akre fair value$1300.03✓Akre+87.2% margin vs $166.05Druckenmiller fair value$60.53✗Druckenmiller-174.3% margin vs $166.05Spier fair value$168.03✓Spier+1.2% margin vs $166.05Show 5 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Pabrai fair value$139.48✗Pabrai-19.0% margin vs $166.05Munger fair value$14.62✗Munger-1035.8% margin vs $166.05Ackman fair value$11.47✗Ackman-1347.7% margin vs $166.05Piotroski fair value$120.69✗Piotroski-37.6% margin vs $166.05Greenblatt fair value$211.72✓Greenblatt+21.6% margin vs $166.05
Historical Score Timeline
Industry Peers
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AMR vs Peers — Financial Grading
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Revenue | Net Income | ROE | D/E | Op. Margin | Curr. Ratio | Graham | Buffett | Lynch | Greenblatt | Piotroski |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WARRIOR MET COAL, INC.HCC | $5.2B | $98.20 | $1.3B | $57.0M | 2.7% | 0.07 | 3.5% | 3.19 | 3/9 | 5/9 | 3/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 4 |
| Core Natural Resources, Inc.CNR | $4.8B | $95.94 | $4.2B | $153.2M | -4.2% | 0.13 | -4.4% | 1.60 | 3/9 | 4/9 | 2/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 3 |
| ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LPARLP | $3.3B | $25.42 | $2.2B | $311.2M | 16.9% | 0.24 | 17.6% | 2.10 | 4/9 | 7/9 | 5/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 4 |
| PEABODY ENERGY CORPBTU | $3.1B | $25.48 | $3.9B | $42.5M | -1.2% | — | -2.1% | 1.85 | 3/9 | 4/9 | 0/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 4 |
| NATURAL RESOURCE PARTNERS LPNRP | $1.4B | $104.56 | $207.3M | $136.4M | 21.6% | 0.07 | 69.6% | 1.85 | 3/9 | 5/9 | 6/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 5 |
| Ramaco Resources, Inc.METCZ | $1.1B | $25.35 | $536.6M | $51.4M | -10.6% | 0.97 | -10.4% | 5.46 | 3/9 | 4/9 | 1/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 3 |
| NACCO INDUSTRIES INCNC | $321.8M | $42.64 | $277.2M | $17.6M | 4.1% | 0.23 | 7.9% | 3.09 | 5/9 | 2/9 | 4/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 6 |
| Coronado Global Resources Inc.CODQL | $310.2M | $0.18 | $1.9B | $432.1M | -66.5% | 1.06 | -17.0% | 1.55 | 2/9 | 2/9 | 0/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 2 |