ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP
ARLPAlliance Resource Partners, L.P., a diversified natural resource company, engages in the production and marketing of coal to utilities and industrial users in the United States. The company operates through four segments: Illinois Basin Coal Operations, Appalachia Coal Operations, Oil & Gas Royalties, and Coal Royalties.
Company Profile
Financial Snapshot
Shareholder Return
Fiscal 2025
Issued 0.3% of shares last year, 1.0% issued over two.
- Buybacks
- $0
- Dividends
- $337.2M
What drove EPS
A buyback raises earnings per share without the company earning more. This splits each year's change into the two.
The two parts do not sum exactly to the total — the difference is the cross-term, plus preferred capital where the company has any. It is left visible rather than distributed into the other two.
Share count is the denominator the filer used for diluted EPS, recovered as net income ÷ EPS — not the balance-sheet count, which is a point-in-time figure and would put the timing difference into this split. Years with a loss are omitted: a smaller share count makes a loss per share larger, so the decomposition inverts.
Company Financials
Annual data (10-K) · Last 5 years
| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $3.3B | $3.2Best. | $2.1Best. | $2.0Best. | $1.1Best. |
| Revenue | $2.2B↓10% | $2.4B↓5% | $2.6B↑6% | $2.4B↑53% | $1.6B |
| Operating Income | $385.3M↓2% | $394.1M↓41% | $672.4M↑1% | $667.4M↑198% | $223.8M |
| Net Income | $311.2M↓14% | $360.9M↓43% | $630.1M↑7% | $586.2M↑221% | $182.8M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $2.40↓13% | $2.77↓42% | $4.81↑10% | $4.39↑223% | $1.36 |
| Gross Margin | — | — | — | — | 40.3% |
| Operating Margin | 17.6%↑9% | 16.1%↓39% | 26.2%↓5% | 27.6%↑95% | 14.2% |
| ROE | 16.9%↓14% | 19.7%↓43% | 34.3%↓1% | 34.9%↑132% | 15.0% |
| Total Debt | $450.8M↓5% | $473.2M↑40% | $337.2M↓20% | $422.2M↓3% | $435.0M |
| Shareholders' Equity | $1.8B↑1% | $1.8B | $1.8B↑9% | $1.7B↑38% | $1.2B |
| Current Ratio | 2.10↓4% | 2.20↓3% | 2.27↓12% | 2.57↑35% | 1.91 |
| Debt / Equity | 0.24↓5% | 0.26↑40% | 0.18↓27% | 0.25↓30% | 0.36 |
| Operating Cash Flow | $651.1M↓19% | $803.1M↓3% | $824.2M↑3% | $802.3M↑86% | $432.2M |
| Free Cash Flow | $387.9M↑4% | $374.4M↓16% | $444.9M↓14% | $516.0M↑67% | $309.2M |
| Metric | Marks Risk-Aware Value | Akre Three-Legged Stool | Druckenmiller Macro-Enhanced Growth | Spier Value Checklist | Pabrai Dhandho Framework | Munger Quality Focus | Ackman Activist Value | Piotroski F-Score | Greenblatt Magic Formula | Lynch GARP | Buffett Quality Compounder | Graham Defensive Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdict | BUY | PASS | HOLD | BUY | BUY | BUY | BUY | PASS | Not ranked | BUY | HOLD | PASS |
| Score | ||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||||||||||||
| Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||||
| Margin of Safety | +36.6% | +83.6% | -50.0% | +17.0% | +34.6% | +29.4% | +1.1% | -77.1% | +14.6% | +30.6% | +20.5% | +8.7% |
| Data As Of | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) |
Where They Agree
- Cash Flow
All 6 investors pass ARLP's cash flow
FCF Positive18/21 years FCF positive✓MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent yearsP/E or FCF YieldP/E=11.0x, FCF Yield=11.4%✓PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%(OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap11.4%✓Ackman>= 4%Price / FCF per Share8.8x✓Ackman<= 25Show 4 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Operating Cash Flow$651.1M✓PiotroskiCFO > 0(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=22.82%, ROA=10.90%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAFCF Positive and Growing$387.9M✓LynchPositive and growingFree Cash Flow Proxy$347.3M✓BuffettPositive and growing
Where They Disagree
- Profitability
7 of 11 pass — Piotroski, Greenblatt, Buffett +1 more object
Discount to Intrinsic Value46.9% (IV=$49.90 vs Price=$26.49)✓Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePositive Net Income Frequency25/26 years positive✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 yearsReturn on Equity23.6% (3-yr avg)✓AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)EPS Growth AccelerationLatest: -13.4%, Prior: -42.4%✓DruckenmillerAccelerating EPS growthShow 19 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Margin of SafetyP/E=11.0x, P/B=1.8x✓SpierP/E < 15 AND P/B < 2.0✓PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15Operating Income / Revenue17.6%✓Ackman>= 15%Net Income / Shareholders Equity16.9%✓Ackman>= 15%Net Income / Total Assets10.90%✓PiotroskiROA > 0ROA Change YoY12.38% -> 10.90% (delta: -1.47%)✗PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=22.82%, ROA=10.90%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAGross Margin Change YoY✗PiotroskiImproved YoYEBIT / Enterprise Value10.2%✓Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=10.2%, ROC=None✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%3-5 Year EPS CAGR15.3%✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passROE16.9%✓Lynch> 15%Net Income Positive (10+ years)25/26 years positive✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ yearsROE (5-yr avg)24.2%✓Buffett> 15% (5-yr avg)Operating Margin (10-yr trend)17.6% (latest)✓BuffettStable or rising over 10 yearsFree Cash Flow Proxy$347.3M✓BuffettPositive and growingEarnings Variance (10-yr CoV)✗BuffettCoV < 0.3Retained Earnings Effectiveness2.36x✓Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value createdPositive EPS (10 years)16/26 years positive✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 yearsEPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)✗Graham>= 33% growth - Debt & Leverage
6 of 8 pass — Lynch and Graham object
Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=8.4x, D/EBITDA=0.7x✓MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4xDebt Levels0.24✓AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3✓MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5Total Debt / Shareholders Equity0.24✓Ackman<= 1.0LT Debt / Total Assets Change15.46% -> 14.97%✓PiotroskiDecreased YoYShow 4 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Total Debt / Equity0.24✓Lynch< 0.33Cash - Long-term Debt$-355.9M✗LynchPositive preferredDebt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.24, IC: 8.4x✓BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5xLT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $427.1M vs NCA $225.6M✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets - Valuation
7 of 9 pass — Greenblatt and Graham object
P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/E=11.0x, P/B=1.8x✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0Discount to Intrinsic Value46.9% (IV=$49.90 vs Price=$26.49)✓Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePrice vs. 200-day MAQualitative✓DruckenmillerPrice above 200-day moving averageMargin of SafetyP/E=11.0x, P/B=1.8x✓SpierP/E < 15 AND P/B < 2.0Show 9 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
P/E or FCF YieldP/E=11.0x, FCF Yield=11.4%✓PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%Valuation ReasonablenessP/E=11.0x, OE Yield=10.2%✓MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%Price / FCF per Share8.8x✓Ackman<= 25EBIT / Enterprise Value10.2%✓Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=10.2%, ROC=None✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%P/E / EPS Growth Rate0.72✓Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)Price / 3-yr avg EPS8.0x✓Graham<= 15xPrice-to-Book Ratio1.8x✗Graham<= 1.5xP/E x P/B14.70✓Graham<= 22.5 - Growth
1 of 5 pass — Druckenmiller, Ackman, Lynch +1 more object
Positive Net Income Frequency25/26 years positive✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 yearsEPS Growth AccelerationLatest: -13.4%, Prior: -42.4%✓DruckenmillerAccelerating EPS growthRevenue Growth RateLatest: -10.4%, Prior: -4.6%✗DruckenmillerRevenue growth accelerating3yr Median Revenue Growth-4.6%✗Ackman>= 5%Show 5 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Positive EPS Growth Frequency3/5 years with positive EPS growth✓AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 yearsP/E / EPS Growth Rate0.72✓Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)3-5 Year EPS CAGR15.3%✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passInventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: 18.2% vs Rev: -10.4%✗LynchInventory growth < Revenue growthEPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)✗Graham>= 33% growth - Efficiency
2 of 6 pass — Akre, Munger, Piotroski +1 more object
ROIC (high and growing)11/18 years ROIC > 15% (latest: 13.3%)✓AkreROIC > 15% for 3+ yearsReinvestment Rate x ROIC0.0% (RR=0% x ROIC=13.3%)✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%Return on Invested Capital13.3%✗Munger> 15%Current Ratio Change YoY2.20 -> 2.10✗PiotroskiIncreased YoYShow 5 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.84x -> 0.77x✗PiotroskiImproved YoYEBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)✗Greenblatt> 25%ROIC (3-5 yr avg)18.8%✓Buffett> 10%ROIC - WACC+8.8%✓BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)Current Ratio2.10✓Graham>= 2.0 - Verdicts
Split decision: 6 BUY · 3 PASS · 2 HOLD
Overall verdict✓MarksBUY (8/8)✓AkrePASS (4/7)•DruckenmillerHOLD (5/7)✓SpierBUY (8/8)✓PabraiBUY (8/8)✓MungerBUY (6/7)✓AckmanBUY (8/9)✓PiotroskiPASS (F-Score 4)•GreenblattNot ranked✓LynchBUY (PEG 0.72)•BuffettHOLD (7/9)✓GrahamPASS (4/9) - Valuation models
Models split on ARLP at $25.42 — fair values range $14.35–$154.55
Marks fair value$40.07✓Marks+36.6% margin vs $25.42Akre fair value$154.55✓Akre+83.6% margin vs $25.42Druckenmiller fair value$16.95✗Druckenmiller-50.0% margin vs $25.42Spier fair value$30.62✓Spier+17.0% margin vs $25.42Show 8 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Pabrai fair value$38.87✓Pabrai+34.6% margin vs $25.42Munger fair value$36.02✓Munger+29.4% margin vs $25.42Ackman fair value$25.69✓Ackman+1.1% margin vs $25.42Piotroski fair value$14.35✗Piotroski-77.1% margin vs $25.42Greenblatt fair value$29.77✓Greenblatt+14.6% margin vs $25.42Lynch fair value$36.62✓Lynch+30.6% margin vs $25.42Buffett fair value$31.96✓Buffett+20.5% margin vs $25.42Graham fair value$27.83✓Graham+8.7% margin vs $25.42
Historical Score Timeline
Industry Peers
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ARLP vs Peers — Financial Grading
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Revenue | Net Income | ROE | D/E | Op. Margin | Curr. Ratio | Graham | Buffett | Lynch | Greenblatt | Piotroski |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WARRIOR MET COAL, INC.HCC | $5.2B | $98.20 | $1.3B | $57.0M | 2.7% | 0.07 | 3.5% | 3.19 | 3/9 | 5/9 | 3/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 4 |
| Core Natural Resources, Inc.CNR | $4.8B | $95.94 | $4.2B | $153.2M | -4.2% | 0.13 | -4.4% | 1.60 | 3/9 | 4/9 | 2/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 3 |
| PEABODY ENERGY CORPBTU | $3.1B | $25.48 | $3.9B | $42.5M | -1.2% | — | -2.1% | 1.85 | 3/9 | 4/9 | 0/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 4 |
| Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.AMR | $2.1B | $166.05 | $2.1B | $61.7M | -4.0% | 0.00 | -2.9% | 4.47 | 6/9 | 4/9 | 2/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 4 |
| NATURAL RESOURCE PARTNERS LPNRP | $1.4B | $104.56 | $207.3M | $136.4M | 21.6% | 0.07 | 69.6% | 1.85 | 3/9 | 5/9 | 6/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 5 |
| Ramaco Resources, Inc.METCZ | $1.1B | $25.35 | $536.6M | $51.4M | -10.6% | 0.97 | -10.4% | 5.46 | 3/9 | 4/9 | 1/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 3 |
| NACCO INDUSTRIES INCNC | $321.8M | $42.64 | $277.2M | $17.6M | 4.1% | 0.23 | 7.9% | 3.09 | 5/9 | 2/9 | 4/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 6 |
| Coronado Global Resources Inc.CODQL | $310.2M | $0.18 | $1.9B | $432.1M | -66.5% | 1.06 | -17.0% | 1.55 | 2/9 | 2/9 | 0/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 2 |