MICROSOFT CORP
MSFTMicrosoft Corporation, a technology company, develops and supports a portfolio of technology solutions for individuals and businesses worldwide. Its products include operating systems, server applications, business solution applications, software development tools, desktop and server management tools, and video games; and devices, such as PCs, tablets, gaming and entertainment consoles, other...
Company Profile
Financial Snapshot
Shareholder Return
Fiscal 2025
Retired 0.1% of shares last year, 0.1% over two.
- Buybacks
- $22.3B
- Dividends
- $26.4B
What drove EPS
A buyback raises earnings per share without the company earning more. This splits each year's change into the two.
Share count is the denominator the filer used for diluted EPS, recovered as net income ÷ EPS — not the balance-sheet count, which is a point-in-time figure and would put the timing difference into this split. Years with a loss are omitted: a smaller share count makes a loss per share larger, so the decomposition inverts.
Company Financials
Annual data (10-K) · Last 5 years
| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $3.7T | $3.1Test. | $2.9Test. | $1.8Test. | $2.2Test. |
| Revenue | $331.8B↑18% | $281.7B↑15% | $245.1B↑16% | $211.9B↑7% | $198.3B |
| Operating Income | $155.2B↑21% | $128.5B↑17% | $109.4B↑24% | $88.5B↑6% | $83.4B |
| Net Income | $133.7B↑31% | $101.8B↑16% | $88.1B↑22% | $72.4B↓1% | $72.7B |
| EPS (Diluted) | $17.95↑32% | $13.64↑16% | $11.80↑22% | $9.68 | $9.65 |
| Gross Margin | 67.9%↓1% | 68.8%↓1% | 69.8%↑1% | 68.9%↑1% | 68.4% |
| Operating Margin | 46.8%↑3% | 45.6%↑2% | 44.6%↑7% | 41.8%↓1% | 42.1% |
| ROE | 30.2%↑2% | 29.6%↓10% | 32.8%↓6% | 35.1%↓20% | 43.7% |
| Total Debt | $49.5B↑7% | $46.1B↓2% | $47.2B↓10% | $52.5B | $52.5B |
| Shareholders' Equity | $442.4B↑29% | $343.5B↑28% | $268.5B↑30% | $206.2B↑24% | $166.5B |
| Current Ratio | 1.23↓9% | 1.35↑6% | 1.27↓28% | 1.77↓1% | 1.78 |
| Debt / Equity | 0.11↓17% | 0.13↓24% | 0.18↓31% | 0.25↓19% | 0.32 |
| Operating Cash Flow | $182.9B↑34% | $136.2B↑15% | $118.5B↑35% | $87.6B↓2% | $89.0B |
| Free Cash Flow | $67.0B↓6% | $71.6B↓3% | $74.1B↑25% | $59.5B↓9% | $65.1B |
| Metric | Marks Risk-Aware Value | Akre Three-Legged Stool | Druckenmiller Macro-Enhanced Growth | Spier Value Checklist | Pabrai Dhandho Framework | Munger Quality Focus | Ackman Activist Value | Piotroski F-Score | Greenblatt Magic Formula | Lynch GARP | Buffett Quality Compounder | Graham Defensive Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdict | HOLD | BUY | BUY | BUY | HOLD | BUY | HOLD | HOLD | Not ranked | PASS | PASS | PASS |
| Score | ||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||||||||||||
| Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||||
| Margin of Safety | -279.8% | +22.8% | +10.5% | -350.1% | -60.4% | -61.7% | -53.3% | -731.8% | -255.4% | -58.6% | -213.3% | -219.4% |
| Data As Of | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) |
Where They Agree
Where They Disagree
- Profitability
4 of 11 pass — Marks, Spier, Pabrai +4 more object
Discount to Intrinsic Value-70.9% (IV=$216.95 vs Price=$370.87)✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePositive Net Income Frequency28/28 years positive✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 yearsReturn on Equity30.9% (3-yr avg)✓AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)EPS Growth AccelerationLatest: 31.6%, Prior: 15.6%✓DruckenmillerAccelerating EPS growthShow 19 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Margin of SafetyP/E=20.7x, P/B=6.2x✗SpierP/E < 15 AND P/B < 2.0✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15Operating Income / Revenue46.8%✓Ackman>= 15%Net Income / Shareholders Equity30.2%✓Ackman>= 15%Net Income / Total Assets17.64%✓PiotroskiROA > 0ROA Change YoY16.45% -> 17.64% (delta: +1.19%)✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=24.12%, ROA=17.64%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAGross Margin Change YoY68.8% -> 67.9%✗PiotroskiImproved YoYEBIT / Enterprise Value5.6%✗Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=5.6%, ROC=44.4%✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%3-5 Year EPS CAGR17.4%✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passROE30.2%✓Lynch> 15%Net Income Positive (10+ years)28/28 years positive✓BuffettPositive every year for 10+ yearsROE (5-yr avg)34.3%✓Buffett> 15% (5-yr avg)Operating Margin (10-yr trend)46.8% (latest)✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 yearsFree Cash Flow Proxy$99.4B✓BuffettPositive and growingEarnings Variance (10-yr CoV)✗BuffettCoV < 0.3Retained Earnings Effectiveness0.64x✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value createdPositive EPS (10 years)28/28 years positive✓GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 yearsEPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)✗Graham>= 33% growth - Debt & Leverage
6 of 8 pass — Lynch and Buffett object
Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=N/A (no interest expense), D/EBITDA=0.3x✓MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4xDebt Levels0.11✓AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3✓MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5Total Debt / Shareholders Equity0.11✓Ackman<= 1.0LT Debt / Total Assets Change6.49% -> 4.10%✓PiotroskiDecreased YoYShow 4 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Total Debt / Equity0.11✓Lynch< 0.33Cash - Long-term Debt$-10.1B✗LynchPositive preferredDebt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.11, IC: N/A✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5xLT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $31.1B vs NCA $38.9B✓GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets - Valuation
2 of 9 pass — Marks, Spier, Pabrai +4 more object
P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/E=20.7x, P/B=6.2x✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0Discount to Intrinsic Value-70.9% (IV=$216.95 vs Price=$370.87)✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePrice vs. 200-day MAQualitative✓DruckenmillerPrice above 200-day moving averageMargin of SafetyP/E=20.7x, P/B=6.2x✗SpierP/E < 15 AND P/B < 2.0Show 9 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
P/E or FCF YieldP/E=20.7x, FCF Yield=2.4%✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%Valuation ReasonablenessP/E=20.7x, OE Yield=1.9%✓MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%Price / FCF per Share41.1x✗Ackman<= 25EBIT / Enterprise Value5.6%✗Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=5.6%, ROC=44.4%✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%P/E / EPS Growth Rate1.19✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)Price / 3-yr avg EPS25.6x✗Graham<= 15xPrice-to-Book Ratio6.2x✗Graham<= 1.5xP/E x P/B159.70✗Graham<= 22.5 - Cash Flow
3 of 6 pass — Pabrai, Ackman and Lynch object
FCF Positive17/17 years FCF positive✓MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent yearsP/E or FCF YieldP/E=20.7x, FCF Yield=2.4%✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%(OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap2.4%✗Ackman>= 4%Price / FCF per Share41.1x✗Ackman<= 25Show 4 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Operating Cash Flow$182.9B✓PiotroskiCFO > 0(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=24.12%, ROA=17.64%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAFCF Positive and Growing$67.0B✗LynchPositive and growingFree Cash Flow Proxy$99.4B✓BuffettPositive and growing - Growth
3 of 5 pass — Lynch and Graham object
Positive Net Income Frequency28/28 years positive✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 yearsEPS Growth AccelerationLatest: 31.6%, Prior: 15.6%✓DruckenmillerAccelerating EPS growthRevenue Growth RateLatest: 17.8%, Prior: 14.9%✓DruckenmillerRevenue growth accelerating3yr Median Revenue Growth15.7%✓Ackman>= 5%Show 5 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Positive EPS Growth Frequency5/5 years with positive EPS growth✓AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 yearsP/E / EPS Growth Rate1.19✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)3-5 Year EPS CAGR17.4%✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passInventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: 48.9% vs Rev: 17.8%✗LynchInventory growth < Revenue growthEPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)✗Graham>= 33% growth - Efficiency
4 of 6 pass — Piotroski and Graham object
ROIC (high and growing)15/17 years ROIC > 15% (latest: 24.9%)✓AkreROIC > 15% for 3+ yearsReinvestment Rate x ROIC20.0% (RR=80% x ROIC=24.9%)✓AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%Return on Invested Capital24.9%✓Munger> 15%Current Ratio Change YoY1.35 -> 1.23✗PiotroskiIncreased YoYShow 5 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.46x -> 0.44x✗PiotroskiImproved YoYEBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)44.4%✓Greenblatt> 25%ROIC (3-5 yr avg)29.3%✓Buffett> 10%ROIC - WACC+19.3%✓BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)Current Ratio1.23✗Graham>= 2.0 - Verdicts
Split decision: 4 HOLD · 4 BUY · 3 PASS
Overall verdict•MarksHOLD (6/8)✓AkreBUY (6/7)✓DruckenmillerBUY (7/7)✓SpierBUY (7/8)•PabraiHOLD (6/8)✓MungerBUY (7/7)•AckmanHOLD (7/9)•PiotroskiHOLD (F-Score 6)•GreenblattNot ranked✓LynchPASS (PEG 1.19)✓BuffettPASS (5/9)✓GrahamPASS (4/9) - Valuation models
Models split on MSFT at $495.40 — fair values range $59.56–$641.63
Marks fair value$130.45✗Marks-279.8% margin vs $495.40Akre fair value$641.63✓Akre+22.8% margin vs $495.40Druckenmiller fair value$553.47✓Druckenmiller+10.5% margin vs $495.40Spier fair value$110.07✗Spier-350.1% margin vs $495.40Show 8 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Pabrai fair value$308.78✗Pabrai-60.4% margin vs $495.40Munger fair value$306.35✗Munger-61.7% margin vs $495.40Ackman fair value$323.11✗Ackman-53.3% margin vs $495.40Piotroski fair value$59.56✗Piotroski-731.8% margin vs $495.40Greenblatt fair value$139.41✗Greenblatt-255.4% margin vs $495.40Lynch fair value$312.26✗Lynch-58.6% margin vs $495.40Buffett fair value$158.13✗Buffett-213.3% margin vs $495.40Graham fair value$155.10✗Graham-219.4% margin vs $495.40
Historical Score Timeline
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| Company | Market Cap | Price | Revenue | Net Income | ROE | D/E | Op. Margin | Curr. Ratio | Graham | Buffett | Lynch | Greenblatt | Piotroski |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uber Technologies, IncUBER | $155.1B | $75.95 | $52.0B | $10.1B | 37.2% | 0.39 | 10.7% | 1.14 | 1/9 | 4/9 | 3/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 6 |
| INTUIT INC.INTU | $94.6B | $345.66 | $18.8B | $3.9B | 19.6% | 0.30 | 26.1% | 1.36 | 2/9 | 7/9 | 5/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 8 |
| MOODYS CORP /DE/MCO | $84.0B | $484.96 | $7.7B | $2.5B | 60.7% | 1.73 | 43.4% | 1.74 | 2/9 | 6/9 | 4/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 8 |
| Nebius Group N.V.NBIS | $70.5B | $277.68 | $529.8M | $82.5M | 1.8% | 0.90 | -115.5% | 3.08 | 2/9 | 2/9 | 1/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 6 |
| ACI WORLDWIDE, INC.ACIW | $5.4B | $53.44 | $1.8B | $226.7M | 14.9% | 0.57 | 18.7% | 1.54 | 1/9 | 1/9 | 3/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 7 |
| Flywire CorpFLYW | $2.3B | $18.81 | $623.0M | $13.5M | 1.6% | — | 1.8% | 1.50 | 1/9 | 2/9 | 2/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 7 |
| INNODATA INCINOD | $2.1B | $63.85 | $251.7M | $32.2M | 30.0% | — | 15.8% | 2.68 | 3/9 | 3/9 | 5/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 6 |
| INSPERITY, INC.NSP | $2.0B | $52.20 | $6.8B | $7.0M | -15.2% | 8.02 | -0.1% | 1.06 | 3/9 | 4/9 | 2/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 1 |