Canada Goose Holdings Inc.
GOOSCanada Goose Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells performance luxury outerwear, apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women, youth, children, and babies. It operates through three segments: Direct-to-Consumer, Wholesale, and Other.
Company Profile
Financial Snapshot
Shareholder Return
Fiscal 2024
Issued 0.3% of shares last year, 7.1% over two.
- Buybacks
- $0
- Dividends
- —
What drove EPS
A buyback raises earnings per share without the company earning more. This splits each year's change into the two.
The two parts do not sum exactly to the total — the difference is the cross-term, plus preferred capital where the company has any. It is left visible rather than distributed into the other two.
Share count is the denominator the filer used for diluted EPS, recovered as net income ÷ EPS — not the balance-sheet count, which is a point-in-time figure and would put the timing difference into this split. Years with a loss are omitted: a smaller share count makes a loss per share larger, so the decomposition inverts.
Company Financials
Annual data (10-K) · Last 5 years
| Metric | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $853.6M | $1.2Best. | $2.5Best. | $3.2Best. | $3.7Best. |
| Revenue | $942.4M↓4% | $985.4M↑9% | $900.0M↑2% | $878.8M↑23% | $717.1M |
| Operating Income | $114.7M↑25% | $92.0M↓16% | $109.2M↓14% | $127.6M↑37% | $92.8M |
| Net Income | $66.3M↑54% | $43.1M↓20% | $53.8M↓29% | $75.7M↑36% | $55.8M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.68↑61% | $0.42↓17% | $0.51↓27% | $0.70↑39% | $0.50 |
| Gross Margin | 69.9%↑2% | 68.8%↑3% | 67.0% | 66.8%↑9% | 61.3% |
| Operating Margin | 12.2%↑30% | 9.3%↓23% | 12.1%↓16% | 14.5%↑12% | 12.9% |
| ROE | 17.5%↑25% | 14.0%↓10% | 15.5%↓30% | 22.1%↑82% | 12.2% |
| Total Debt | $3.0M↓57% | $6.9M↓66% | $20.4M↑571% | $3.0M | $0 |
| Shareholders' Equity | $378.3M↑23% | $308.1M↓11% | $347.2M↑1% | $342.4M↓25% | $458.3M |
| Current Ratio | 2.67↑20% | 2.23↓9% | 2.45↓10% | 2.71↓21% | 3.42 |
| Debt / Equity | 0.01↓65% | 0.02↓62% | 0.06↑562% | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Operating Cash Flow | $204.4M↑68% | $121.6M↑41% | $86.0M↓29% | $121.3M↓47% | $229.0M |
| Free Cash Flow | $192.0M↑137% | $81.0M↑54% | $52.6M↓44% | $93.7M↓55% | $207.7M |
| Metric | Marks Risk-Aware Value | Akre Three-Legged Stool | Druckenmiller Macro-Enhanced Growth | Spier Value Checklist | Pabrai Dhandho Framework | Munger Quality Focus | Ackman Activist Value | Piotroski F-Score | Greenblatt Magic Formula | Lynch GARP | Buffett Quality Compounder | Graham Defensive Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdict | HOLD | BUY | BUY | BUY | BUY | BUY | PASS | HOLD | Not ranked | PASS | PASS | FAIL |
| Score | ||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||||||||||||
| Intrinsic Value | N/A | |||||||||||
| Margin of Safety | -1.5% | +55.8% | +44.1% | +66.3% | +38.4% | +83.9% | +68.7% | -123.5% | -1.7% | N/A | +64.6% | -13.2% |
| Data As Of | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) | 10-K (2026-08-15) |
Where They Agree
- Cash Flow
All 6 investors pass GOOS's cash flow
FCF Positive9/10 years FCF positive✓MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent yearsP/E or FCF YieldP/E=17.8x, FCF Yield=16.4%✓PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%(OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap16.4%✓Ackman>= 4%Price / FCF per Share6.1x✓Ackman<= 25Show 4 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Operating Cash Flow$204.4M✓PiotroskiCFO > 0(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=18.09%, ROA=5.86%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAFCF Positive and Growing$192.0M✓LynchPositive and growingFree Cash Flow Proxy$138.9M✓BuffettPositive and growing
Where They Disagree
- Profitability
3 of 11 pass — Marks, Akre, Spier +5 more object
Discount to Intrinsic Value-50.0% (IV=$8.05 vs Price=$12.07)✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePositive Net Income Frequency10/10 years positive✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 yearsReturn on Equity15.7% (3-yr avg)✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)EPS Growth AccelerationLatest: 61.0%, Prior: -17.5%✓DruckenmillerAccelerating EPS growthShow 19 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Margin of SafetyP/E=17.8x, P/B=3.1x✗SpierP/E < 15 AND P/B < 2.0✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15Operating Income / Revenue12.2%✗Ackman>= 15%Net Income / Shareholders Equity17.5%✓Ackman>= 15%Net Income / Total Assets5.86%✓PiotroskiROA > 0ROA Change YoY3.94% -> 5.86% (delta: +1.92%)✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=18.09%, ROA=5.86%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAGross Margin Change YoY68.8% -> 69.9%✓PiotroskiImproved YoYEBIT / Enterprise Value12.2%✓Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=12.2%, ROC=43.9%✓GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%3-5 Year EPS CAGR-6.5%✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passROE17.5%✓Lynch> 15%Net Income Positive (10+ years)10/11 years positive✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ yearsROE (5-yr avg)16.3%✓Buffett> 15% (5-yr avg)Operating Margin (10-yr trend)12.2% (latest)✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 yearsFree Cash Flow Proxy$138.9M✓BuffettPositive and growingEarnings Variance (10-yr CoV)0.45✗BuffettCoV < 0.3Retained Earnings Effectiveness-7.16x✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value createdPositive EPS (10 years)10/11 years positive✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 yearsEPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)199.8%✓Graham>= 33% growth - Debt & Leverage
5 of 8 pass — Lynch, Buffett and Graham object
Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=N/A (no interest expense), D/EBITDA=0.0x✓MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4xDebt Levels0.01✓AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3✓MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5Total Debt / Shareholders Equity0.01✓Ackman<= 1.0LT Debt / Total Assets Change0.00% -> 0.00%✓PiotroskiDecreased YoYShow 4 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Total Debt / Equity0.01✓Lynch< 0.33Cash - Long-term Debt✗LynchPositive preferredDebt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.01, IC: N/A✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5xLT Debt vs Net Current Assets✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets - Valuation
5 of 9 pass — Marks, Spier, Lynch +1 more object
P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/E=17.8x, P/B=3.1x✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0Discount to Intrinsic Value-50.0% (IV=$8.05 vs Price=$12.07)✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePrice vs. 200-day MAQualitative✓DruckenmillerPrice above 200-day moving averageMargin of SafetyP/E=17.8x, P/B=3.1x✗SpierP/E < 15 AND P/B < 2.0Show 9 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
P/E or FCF YieldP/E=17.8x, FCF Yield=16.4%✓PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%Valuation ReasonablenessP/E=17.8x, OE Yield=11.9%✓MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%Price / FCF per Share6.1x✓Ackman<= 25EBIT / Enterprise Value12.2%✓Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=12.2%, ROC=43.9%✓GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%P/E / EPS Growth RateP/E 17.8x (growth N/A)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)Price / 3-yr avg EPS22.5x✗Graham<= 15xPrice-to-Book Ratio3.1x✗Graham<= 1.5xP/E x P/B69.50✗Graham<= 22.5 - Growth
2 of 5 pass — Druckenmiller, Ackman and Lynch object
Positive Net Income Frequency10/10 years positive✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 yearsEPS Growth AccelerationLatest: 61.0%, Prior: -17.5%✓DruckenmillerAccelerating EPS growthRevenue Growth RateLatest: -4.4%, Prior: 9.5%✗DruckenmillerRevenue growth accelerating3yr Median Revenue Growth2.4%✗Ackman>= 5%Show 5 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Positive EPS Growth Frequency2/5 years with positive EPS growth✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 yearsP/E / EPS Growth RateP/E 17.8x (growth N/A)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)3-5 Year EPS CAGR-6.5%✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passInventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: -18.4% vs Rev: -4.4%✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growthEPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)199.8%✓Graham>= 33% growth - Efficiency
5 of 6 pass — Piotroski objects
ROIC (high and growing)7/7 years ROIC > 15% (latest: 23.8%)✓AkreROIC > 15% for 3+ yearsReinvestment Rate x ROIC23.8% (RR=100% x ROIC=23.8%)✓AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%Return on Invested Capital23.8%✓Munger> 15%Current Ratio Change YoY2.23 -> 2.67✓PiotroskiIncreased YoYShow 5 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.90x -> 0.83x✗PiotroskiImproved YoYEBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)43.9%✓Greenblatt> 25%ROIC (3-5 yr avg)66.4%✓Buffett> 10%ROIC - WACC+56.4%✓BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)Current Ratio2.67✓Graham>= 2.0 - Verdicts
Split decision: 5 BUY · 3 PASS · 2 HOLD · 1 FAIL
Overall verdict•MarksHOLD (6/8)✓AkreBUY (5/7)✓DruckenmillerBUY (6/7)✓SpierBUY (7/8)✓PabraiBUY (7/8)✓MungerBUY (7/7)✓AckmanPASS (5/9)•PiotroskiHOLD (F-Score 7)•GreenblattNot ranked✓LynchPASS (4/7)✓BuffettPASS (4/9)✗GrahamFAIL (3/9) - Valuation models
Models split on GOOS at $8.74 — fair values range $3.91–$54.24
Marks fair value$8.61✗Marks-1.5% margin vs $8.74Akre fair value$19.77✓Akre+55.8% margin vs $8.74Druckenmiller fair value$15.63✓Druckenmiller+44.1% margin vs $8.74Spier fair value$25.94✓Spier+66.3% margin vs $8.74Show 7 more metrics ▾Show fewer ▴
Pabrai fair value$14.18✓Pabrai+38.4% margin vs $8.74Munger fair value$54.24✓Munger+83.9% margin vs $8.74Ackman fair value$27.94✓Ackman+68.7% margin vs $8.74Piotroski fair value$3.91✗Piotroski-123.5% margin vs $8.74Greenblatt fair value$8.59✗Greenblatt-1.7% margin vs $8.74Buffett fair value$24.72✓Buffett+64.6% margin vs $8.74Graham fair value$7.72✗Graham-13.2% margin vs $8.74
Historical Score Timeline
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GOOS vs Peers — Financial Grading
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Revenue | Net Income | ROE | D/E | Op. Margin | Curr. Ratio | Graham | Buffett | Lynch | Greenblatt | Piotroski |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CINTAS CORPCTAS | $79.8B | $199.52 | $10.3B | $1.8B | 38.7% | 0.52 | 22.8% | 2.09 | 3/9 | 6/9 | 1/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 5 |
| TAPESTRY, INC.TPR | $25.7B | $128.98 | $7.0B | $183.2M | 21.4% | 2.79 | 5.9% | 1.87 | 1/9 | 4/9 | 1/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 4 |
| RALPH LAUREN CORPRL | $23.2B | $388.92 | $8.1B | $941.1M | 33.1% | 0.44 | 14.5% | 2.13 | 5/9 | 6/9 | 5/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 8 |
| lululemon athletica inc.LULU | $13.6B | $119.55 | $11.1B | $1.6B | 31.8% | — | 19.9% | 2.26 | 3/9 | 3/9 | 3/7 | 3/3 | F-Score 5 |
| DECKERS OUTDOOR CORPDECK | $12.7B | $93.09 | $5.5B | $1.0B | 41.0% | — | 23.1% | 3.54 | 2/9 | 5/9 | 3/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 7 |
| Gildan Activewear Inc.GIL | $10.5B | $56.72 | $3.6B | $398.9M | 11.2% | 1.08 | 17.1% | 2.11 | 3/9 | 6/9 | 1/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 4 |
| LEVI STRAUSS & COLEVI | $8.7B | $22.55 | $6.3B | $578.1M | 25.4% | 0.46 | 10.8% | 1.55 | 3/9 | 5/9 | 2/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 7 |
| Birkenstock Holding plcBIRK | $7.0B | $39.35 | $2.5B | $408.6M | 12.8% | 0.42 | 26.2% | 2.81 | 2/9 | 3/9 | 3/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 9 |